Sport Picks
Match Events
87'
87'
Welves
90'
90'
Machado Oliveira Carvalho D. F.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Paraense 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Castanhal
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Castanhal haven't matched Aguia De Maraba's recent run of results.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Castanhal Clean Sheet 68%
Aguia De Maraba Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Castanhal | Aguia De Maraba |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 33 |
| Wins | 10 | 16 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 1.52 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.2 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 1.61 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 28, 2026 Copa Grao Para
Castanhal vs Aguia De Maraba
1:0
Feb 2, 2025 Paraense
Castanhal vs Aguia De Maraba
1:1
Apr 16, 2023 Paraense
Aguia De Maraba vs Castanhal
2:0
Apr 8, 2023 Paraense
Castanhal vs Aguia De Maraba
1:2
Feb 5, 2023 Paraense
Castanhal vs Aguia De Maraba
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Castanhal Compare
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58
Aguia De Maraba Compare
Top Goalscorer Welves
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.46
Avg xA / game 0.89
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Castanhal 42 / 100
Aguia De Maraba 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Castanhal Aguia De Maraba
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Castanhal scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.
Aguia De Maraba's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 33 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Difficult form: Aguia De Maraba registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Aguia De Maraba
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Castanhal
(Home) 11 Mar
Castanhal
0 : 4 Nova Iguacu
07 Mar
Castanhal
0 : 1 Capitao Poco
28 Feb
Castanhal
1 : 0 Aguia De Maraba
25 Feb
Castanhal
2 : 1 Guarani
22 Feb
Paysandu PA
1 : 0 Castanhal
Page 1 of 6
11 Mar
Castanhal
0 : 4 Nova Iguacu
07 Mar
Castanhal
0 : 1 Capitao Poco
28 Feb
Castanhal
1 : 0 Aguia De Maraba
25 Feb
Castanhal
2 : 1 Guarani
12 Feb
Castanhal
2 : 2 Remo
Page 1 of 4
Aguia De Maraba
(Away) 12 Jul
ABC
3 : 0 Aguia De Maraba
04 Jul
Aguia De Maraba
2 : 1 ABC
27 Jun
Aguia De Maraba
2 : 0 Parnahyba
21 Jun
Parnahyba
2 : 1 Aguia De Maraba
06 Jun
Trem
2 : 0 Aguia De Maraba
Page 1 of 7
12 Jul
ABC
3 : 0 Aguia De Maraba
21 Jun
Parnahyba
2 : 1 Aguia De Maraba
06 Jun
Trem
2 : 0 Aguia De Maraba
23 May
Imperatriz
0 : 3 Aguia De Maraba
17 May
Tuna Luso
2 : 1 Aguia De Maraba
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Remo | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17:4 | 17 |
| 2 | Paysandu PA | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 3 | Bragantino PA | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 11:6 | 17 |
| 4 | Castanhal | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:7 | 13 |
| 5 | Tuna Luso | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:12 | 11 |
| 6 | Aguia De Maraba | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | 11 |
| 7 | Capitao Poco | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 9:9 | 11 |
| 8 | Santa Rosa | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7:9 | 10 |
| 9 | Cameta | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | 10 |
| 10 | Sao Francisco | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9:16 | 6 |
| 11 | Independente | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5:12 | 6 |
| 12 | Caete | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5:12 | 3 |
Promotion - Paraense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraense A2 (Main)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paysandu PA | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 2 | Cameta | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | 10 |
| 3 | Sao Francisco | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9:16 | 6 |
| 4 | Caete | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5:12 | 3 |
Promotion - Paraense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraense A2 (Main)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Remo | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17:4 | 17 |
| 2 | Bragantino PA | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 11:6 | 17 |
| 3 | Castanhal | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:7 | 13 |
| 4 | Independente | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5:12 | 6 |
Promotion - Paraense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraense A2 (Main)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tuna Luso | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:12 | 11 |
| 2 | Aguia De Maraba | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | 11 |
| 3 | Capitao Poco | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 9:9 | 11 |
| 4 | Santa Rosa | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7:9 | 10 |
Promotion - Paraense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraense A2 (Main)
