Sport Picks
Match Events
55'
55'
Selson
AI Match Summary
The Paraense 2025 game between Castanhal and Caete finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Castanhal.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Castanhal
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Caete haven't matched Castanhal's recent run of results.
- Castanhal are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- Regular Paraense 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Castanhal have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Castanhal Clean Sheet 20%
Caete Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Castanhal | Caete |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 5 |
| Draws | 8 | 5 |
| Losses | 12 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 1.06 | 0.8 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.16 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 19, 2025 Paraense
Castanhal vs Caete
1:0
Feb 8, 2024 Paraense
Castanhal vs Caete
2:3
Mar 26, 2023 Paraense
Castanhal vs Caete
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Castanhal Compare
Top Goalscorer Selson
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Caete Compare
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Castanhal 42 / 100
Caete 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Castanhal Caete
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Caete has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.
Castanhal scored in 61% of their last 31 games.
Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.
Caete lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Castanhal VS Caete
1 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 83%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 33%
Recent Form & Match History
Castanhal
(Home) 11 Mar
Castanhal
0 : 4 Nova Iguacu
07 Mar
Castanhal
0 : 1 Capitao Poco
28 Feb
Castanhal
1 : 0 Aguia De Maraba
25 Feb
Castanhal
2 : 1 Guarani
22 Feb
Paysandu PA
1 : 0 Castanhal
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11 Mar
Castanhal
0 : 4 Nova Iguacu
07 Mar
Castanhal
0 : 1 Capitao Poco
28 Feb
Castanhal
1 : 0 Aguia De Maraba
25 Feb
Castanhal
2 : 1 Guarani
12 Feb
Castanhal
2 : 2 Remo
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Caete
(Away) 03 Jun
Caete
0 : 2 Paragominas
30 May
Paragominas
2 : 0 Caete
19 May
Santos PA
3 : 1 Caete
16 May
Caete
0 : 0 Canaa
02 May
Caete
3 : 0 Santos PA
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30 May
Paragominas
2 : 0 Caete
19 May
Santos PA
3 : 1 Caete
25 Apr
Canaa
2 : 2 Caete
02 Mar
Tuna Luso
2 : 1 Caete
15 Feb
Aguia De Maraba
1 : 0 Caete
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Remo | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17:4 | 17 |
| 2 | Paysandu PA | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 3 | Bragantino PA | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 11:6 | 17 |
| 4 | Castanhal | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:7 | 13 |
| 5 | Tuna Luso | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:12 | 11 |
| 6 | Aguia De Maraba | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | 11 |
| 7 | Capitao Poco | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 9:9 | 11 |
| 8 | Santa Rosa | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7:9 | 10 |
| 9 | Cameta | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | 10 |
| 10 | Sao Francisco | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9:16 | 6 |
| 11 | Independente | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5:12 | 6 |
| 12 | Caete | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5:12 | 3 |
Promotion - Paraense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraense A2 (Main)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paysandu PA | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 2 | Cameta | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | 10 |
| 3 | Sao Francisco | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9:16 | 6 |
| 4 | Caete | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5:12 | 3 |
Promotion - Paraense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraense A2 (Main)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Remo | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17:4 | 17 |
| 2 | Bragantino PA | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 11:6 | 17 |
| 3 | Castanhal | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:7 | 13 |
| 4 | Independente | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5:12 | 6 |
Promotion - Paraense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraense A2 (Main)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tuna Luso | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:12 | 11 |
| 2 | Aguia De Maraba | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | 11 |
| 3 | Capitao Poco | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 9:9 | 11 |
| 4 | Santa Rosa | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7:9 | 10 |
Promotion - Paraense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraense A2 (Main)
