Sport Picks
Match Events
13'
13'
Machado D.
51'
51'
Raposo R.
63'
63'
Rangel P.
AI Match Summary
The Paraense 2025 game between Castanhal and Cameta finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Castanhal.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Castanhal
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Cameta come out ahead of Castanhal on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Cameta's way, sitting at 40%.
- Regular Paraense 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Castanhal Clean Sheet 21%
Cameta Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Castanhal | Cameta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 10 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 12 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 1.19 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.2 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.76 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 25, 2026 Paraense
Cameta vs Castanhal
0:0
Feb 23, 2025 Paraense
Castanhal vs Cameta
3:1
Jan 20, 2024 Paraense
Cameta vs Castanhal
2:2
Mar 5, 2023 Paraense
Cameta vs Castanhal
2:2
Mar 4, 2018 Paraense
Cameta vs Castanhal
3:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Castanhal Compare
Top Goalscorer Rangel P.
2 Goals Assists Leader Raposo R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Cameta Compare
Top Goalscorer Machado D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Castanhal 29 / 100
Cameta 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Castanhal Cameta
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Cameta Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cameta's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 31 matches.
H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.
Castanhal's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Cameta's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Castanhal VS Cameta
0.63 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
25% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Castanhal
(Home) 11 Mar
Castanhal
0 : 4 Nova Iguacu
07 Mar
Castanhal
0 : 1 Capitao Poco
28 Feb
Castanhal
1 : 0 Aguia De Maraba
25 Feb
Castanhal
2 : 1 Guarani
22 Feb
Paysandu PA
1 : 0 Castanhal
Page 1 of 6
11 Mar
Castanhal
0 : 4 Nova Iguacu
07 Mar
Castanhal
0 : 1 Capitao Poco
28 Feb
Castanhal
1 : 0 Aguia De Maraba
25 Feb
Castanhal
2 : 1 Guarani
12 Feb
Castanhal
2 : 2 Remo
Page 1 of 4
Cameta
(Away) 28 Feb
Cameta
1 : 2 Capitao Poco
22 Feb
Cameta
2 : 3 Remo
19 Feb
Cameta
2 : 0 Santa Rosa
15 Feb
Aguia De Maraba
1 : 0 Cameta
11 Feb
Cameta
2 : 0 Paysandu PA
Page 1 of 7
15 Feb
Aguia De Maraba
1 : 0 Cameta
08 Feb
Sao Francisco
1 : 2 Cameta
31 Jan
Bragantino PA
1 : 1 Cameta
23 Feb
Castanhal
3 : 1 Cameta
08 Feb
Independente
0 : 1 Cameta
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Remo | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17:4 | 17 |
| 2 | Paysandu PA | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 3 | Bragantino PA | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 11:6 | 17 |
| 4 | Castanhal | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:7 | 13 |
| 5 | Tuna Luso | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:12 | 11 |
| 6 | Aguia De Maraba | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | 11 |
| 7 | Capitao Poco | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 9:9 | 11 |
| 8 | Santa Rosa | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7:9 | 10 |
| 9 | Cameta | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | 10 |
| 10 | Sao Francisco | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9:16 | 6 |
| 11 | Independente | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5:12 | 6 |
| 12 | Caete | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5:12 | 3 |
Promotion - Paraense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraense A2 (Main)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paysandu PA | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 2 | Cameta | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | 10 |
| 3 | Sao Francisco | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9:16 | 6 |
| 4 | Caete | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5:12 | 3 |
Promotion - Paraense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraense A2 (Main)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Remo | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17:4 | 17 |
| 2 | Bragantino PA | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 11:6 | 17 |
| 3 | Castanhal | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:7 | 13 |
| 4 | Independente | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5:12 | 6 |
Promotion - Paraense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraense A2 (Main)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tuna Luso | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:12 | 11 |
| 2 | Aguia De Maraba | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | 11 |
| 3 | Capitao Poco | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 9:9 | 11 |
| 4 | Santa Rosa | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7:9 | 10 |
Promotion - Paraense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraense A2 (Main)
