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Castanhal vs Remo

Brazil Brazil

Paraense Estádio Maximino Porpino Filho, Castanhal
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Daniel GTA
61' Event
Eduardo Melo
70' Event
Ricardinho

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Paraense matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Castanhal
30%
Draws
34%
Remo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Castanhal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Castanhal haven't matched Remo's recent run of results.
  • Castanhal are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Remo have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 27%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Castanhal Clean Sheet 20%
Remo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Castanhal Remo
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 10 16
Draws 8 8
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 0 0.88
Goals Conceded 0 1.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 12, 2026 Paraense
Castanhal vs Remo
2:2
Jan 24, 2024 Paraense
Castanhal vs Remo
0:1
Mar 19, 2023 Paraense
Castanhal vs Remo
2:3
May 15, 2021 Paraense
Remo vs Castanhal
3:0
Apr 21, 2021 Paraense
Remo vs Castanhal
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Castanhal Compare

Top Goalscorer Daniel GTA
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ricardinho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Remo Compare

Top Goalscorer Eduardo Melo
1 Goals
Assists Leader Thalisson
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Castanhal 36 / 100
Remo 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Castanhal Remo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Castanhal found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Remo conceded in 75% of 36 recent games.

Solid form: Castanhal remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Remo
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Castanhal

(Home)
11 Mar
Castanhal
0 : 4
Nova Iguacu
07 Mar
Castanhal
0 : 1
Capitao Poco
28 Feb
Castanhal
1 : 0
Aguia De Maraba
25 Feb
Castanhal
2 : 1
Guarani
22 Feb
Paysandu PA
1 : 0
Castanhal
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Remo

(Away)
23 Jul
Corinthians
3 : 0
Remo
31 May
Remo
1 : 0
Sao Paulo
24 May
Remo
1 : 2
Athletico-PR
17 May
Chapecoense-SC
2 : 3
Remo
14 May
Remo
2 : 1
Bahia
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cameta63218:411
2Capitao Poco63129:610
3Paysandu PA63126:410
4Aguia De Maraba63128:710
5Remo62409:510
6Tuna Luso63033:59
7Castanhal62224:58
8Santa Rosa62134:77
9Sao Raimundo PA61326:86
10Amazonia IFC61327:116
11Bragantino PA61236:75
12Sao Francisco61234:55
Promotion - Paraense (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraense A2 2027 (Main)