Sport Picks

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Castegnato vs Adriese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Randazzo F.
31' Event
Costanzo P.
73' Event
Petdji T.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group C 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Castegnato
15%
Draws
0%
Adriese
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Castegnato

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Adriese haven't matched Castegnato's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Castegnato a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Castegnato Clean Sheet 20%
Adriese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Castegnato Adriese
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 6
Draws 9 5
Losses 14 21
Goals Scored 1.2 0.91
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Adriese vs Castegnato
5:2
Dec 21, 2023 Serie D - Group C
Castegnato vs Adriese
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Castegnato Compare

Top Goalscorer Randazzo F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Costanzo P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.93

Adriese Compare

Top Goalscorer Petdji T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Castegnato 67 / 100
Adriese 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Castegnato Adriese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Castegnato Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Adriese has conceded goals in 84% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 5.50 goals when they meet.

Adriese's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Castegnato scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Adriese
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 2.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Castegnato

(Home)
12 May
Luparense FC
2 : 0
Castegnato
05 May
Adriese
5 : 2
Castegnato
28 Apr
Castegnato
1 : 2
Treviso
21 Apr
Castegnato
1 : 4
Montecchio Maggiore
14 Apr
Chions
2 : 2
Castegnato
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Adriese

(Away)
03 May
Adriese
0 : 4
Brian Lignano
26 Apr
Clodiense
2 : 1
Adriese
19 Apr
Adriese
0 : 1
Campodarsego
11 Apr
Calvi Noale
2 : 0
Adriese
02 Apr
Adriese
0 : 2
Cjarlins Muzane
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Clodiense 34 25 5 4 49:17 80
2 Dolomiti Bellunesi 34 19 9 6 56:25 66
3 Treviso 34 19 3 12 51:37 60
4 Bassano Virtus 34 15 9 10 35:30 54
5 Campodarsego 34 12 15 7 42:26 51
6 Este 34 13 12 9 44:33 51
7 Montecchio Maggiore 34 14 9 11 48:40 51
8 Adriese 34 13 11 10 54:41 50
9 Portogruaro 34 13 9 12 52:43 48
10 Mestre 34 13 9 12 34:37 48
11 Montebelluna 34 11 12 11 35:41 45
12 Chions 34 10 11 13 40:50 41
13 Luparense FC 34 10 9 15 38:41 39
14 Breno 34 8 13 13 39:49 37
15 Cjarlins Muzane 34 7 14 13 30:37 35
16 Castegnato 34 7 12 15 39:58 33
17 Virtus Bolzano 34 4 12 18 25:52 24
18 Mori 34 3 6 25 22:76 15
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2023/2024 (Play Out)