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Castegnato vs Clodiense Prediction & H2H Stats

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Serie D - Group C 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

85' Event
Costanzo P.

AI Match Summary

Castegnato in this Serie D - Group C 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Castegnato.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Castegnato
20%
Draws
73%
Clodiense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Clodiense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Clodiense lately — more wins on the board than Castegnato.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on Clodiense taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group C 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Castegnato Clean Sheet 19%
Clodiense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Castegnato Clodiense
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 7 21
Draws 9 8
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 1.2 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.83 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 21, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Castegnato vs Clodiense
1:0
Sep 24, 2023 Serie D - Group C
Clodiense vs Castegnato
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Castegnato Compare

Top Goalscorer Costanzo P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Clodiense Compare

Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Castegnato 10 / 100
Clodiense 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Castegnato Clodiense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Clodiense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Castegnato scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Clodiense let in goals in 54% of their last 35 matches.

Castegnato went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Clodiense
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Castegnato

(Home)
12 May
Luparense FC
2 : 0
Castegnato
05 May
Adriese
5 : 2
Castegnato
28 Apr
Castegnato
1 : 2
Treviso
21 Apr
Castegnato
1 : 4
Montecchio Maggiore
14 Apr
Chions
2 : 2
Castegnato
Page 1 of 6

Clodiense

(Away)
27 Sept
Luparense FC
3 : 0
Clodiense
20 Sept
Brian Lignano
3 : 5
Clodiense
16 Sept
Clodiense
1 : 0
Este
12 Sept
Schio
1 : 1
Clodiense
06 Sept
Clodiense
2 : 0
Virtus Bolzano
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Clodiense 34 25 5 4 49:17 80
2 Dolomiti Bellunesi 34 19 9 6 56:25 66
3 Treviso 34 19 3 12 51:37 60
4 Bassano Virtus 34 15 9 10 35:30 54
5 Campodarsego 34 12 15 7 42:26 51
6 Este 34 13 12 9 44:33 51
7 Montecchio Maggiore 34 14 9 11 48:40 51
8 Adriese 34 13 11 10 54:41 50
9 Portogruaro 34 13 9 12 52:43 48
10 Mestre 34 13 9 12 34:37 48
11 Montebelluna 34 11 12 11 35:41 45
12 Chions 34 10 11 13 40:50 41
13 Luparense FC 34 10 9 15 38:41 39
14 Breno 34 8 13 13 39:49 37
15 Cjarlins Muzane 34 7 14 13 30:37 35
16 Castegnato 34 7 12 15 39:58 33
17 Virtus Bolzano 34 4 12 18 25:52 24
18 Mori 34 3 6 25 22:76 15
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2023/2024 (Play Out)