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Castegnato vs Este

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Bertazzoli A.
77' Event
Giacomazzi A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group C 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Castegnato
20%
Draws
64%
Este
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Este

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Este have won more games recently than Castegnato.
  • Este are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 17%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Castegnato Clean Sheet 24%
Este Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Castegnato Este
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 10
Draws 9 8
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.2 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.83 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Castegnato vs Este
1:1
Oct 22, 2023 Serie D - Group C
Este vs Castegnato
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Castegnato Compare

Top Goalscorer Bertazzoli A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Este Compare

Top Goalscorer Giacomazzi A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Castegnato 17 / 100
Este 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Castegnato Este

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Este Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Castegnato's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Este conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Este lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Este
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Castegnato

(Home)
12 May
Luparense FC
2 : 0
Castegnato
05 May
Adriese
5 : 2
Castegnato
28 Apr
Castegnato
1 : 2
Treviso
21 Apr
Castegnato
1 : 4
Montecchio Maggiore
14 Apr
Chions
2 : 2
Castegnato
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Este

(Away)
27 Sept
Calcio San Dona
0 : 0
Este
20 Sept
Este
1 : 2
Cjarlins Muzane
16 Sept
Clodiense
1 : 0
Este
13 Sept
Este
0 : 1
FC Obermais
06 Sept
Brian Lignano
0 : 2
Este
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Clodiense 34 25 5 4 49:17 80
2 Dolomiti Bellunesi 34 19 9 6 56:25 66
3 Treviso 34 19 3 12 51:37 60
4 Bassano Virtus 34 15 9 10 35:30 54
5 Campodarsego 34 12 15 7 42:26 51
6 Este 34 13 12 9 44:33 51
7 Montecchio Maggiore 34 14 9 11 48:40 51
8 Adriese 34 13 11 10 54:41 50
9 Portogruaro 34 13 9 12 52:43 48
10 Mestre 34 13 9 12 34:37 48
11 Montebelluna 34 11 12 11 35:41 45
12 Chions 34 10 11 13 40:50 41
13 Luparense FC 34 10 9 15 38:41 39
14 Breno 34 8 13 13 39:49 37
15 Cjarlins Muzane 34 7 14 13 30:37 35
16 Castegnato 34 7 12 15 39:58 33
17 Virtus Bolzano 34 4 12 18 25:52 24
18 Mori 34 3 6 25 22:76 15
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2023/2024 (Play Out)