Sport Picks
Castegnato vs Portogruaro Prediction & H2H Stats
Italy
Serie D - Group C 2023/2024 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group C 2023/2024 game between Castegnato and Portogruaro finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Portogruaro.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Castegnato come out ahead of Portogruaro on wins alone.
- Castegnato are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Castegnato | Portogruaro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 7 | 3 |
| Draws | 9 | 5 |
| Losses | 14 | 24 |
| Goals Scored | 1.2 | 0.78 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.83 | 2.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.79 | 0.68 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Castegnato Compare
Portogruaro Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Portogruaro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 32 matches.
Portogruaro's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.
Attacking prowess: Castegnato scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Castegnato
(Home)Portogruaro
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clodiense | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 49:17 | 80 |
| 2 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 56:25 | 66 |
| 3 | Treviso | 34 | 19 | 3 | 12 | 51:37 | 60 |
| 4 | Bassano Virtus | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 35:30 | 54 |
| 5 | Campodarsego | 34 | 12 | 15 | 7 | 42:26 | 51 |
| 6 | Este | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 44:33 | 51 |
| 7 | Montecchio Maggiore | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 48:40 | 51 |
| 8 | Adriese | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 54:41 | 50 |
| 9 | Portogruaro | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 52:43 | 48 |
| 10 | Mestre | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 34:37 | 48 |
| 11 | Montebelluna | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 35:41 | 45 |
| 12 | Chions | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 40:50 | 41 |
| 13 | Luparense FC | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38:41 | 39 |
| 14 | Breno | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 39:49 | 37 |
| 15 | Cjarlins Muzane | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 30:37 | 35 |
| 16 | Castegnato | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 39:58 | 33 |
| 17 | Virtus Bolzano | 34 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 25:52 | 24 |
| 18 | Mori | 34 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 22:76 | 15 |
