Sport Picks
Match Events
10'
10'
Perpepaj D.
23'
23'
Braconi L.
34'
34'
Perpepaj D.
AI Match Summary
Castelfidardo in this Serie D - Group F 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Castelfidardo.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Agnonese
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Agnonese haven't matched Castelfidardo's recent run of results.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Castelfidardo Clean Sheet 20%
Agnonese Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Castelfidardo | Agnonese |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 35 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 3 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 20 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 1.06 | 0.8 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.69 | 2.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.97 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 16, 2021 Serie D - Group F
Castelfidardo vs Agnonese
4:0
Feb 7, 2021 Serie D - Group F
Agnonese vs Castelfidardo
0:2
Jan 20, 2019 Serie D - Group F
Agnonese vs Castelfidardo
0:0
Sep 30, 2018 Serie D - Group F
Castelfidardo vs Agnonese
2:2
Jan 21, 2018 Serie D - Group F
Agnonese vs Castelfidardo
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Castelfidardo Compare
Top Goalscorer Perpepaj D.
3 Goals Assists Leader Braconi L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48
Agnonese Compare
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Castelfidardo 36 / 100
Agnonese 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Castelfidardo Agnonese
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Agnonese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Agnonese conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.
Castelfidardo scored in 71% of their last 35 games.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Agnonese lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Castelfidardo VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Castelfidardo
(Home) 03 May
Castelfidardo
0 : 2 AS Sora
26 Apr
Fossombrone
3 : 1 Castelfidardo
19 Apr
Castelfidardo
1 : 3 Vigor Senigallia
12 Apr
Giulianova
0 : 0 Castelfidardo
02 Apr
Castelfidardo
2 : 2 Maceratese
Page 1 of 7
03 May
Castelfidardo
0 : 2 AS Sora
19 Apr
Castelfidardo
1 : 3 Vigor Senigallia
02 Apr
Castelfidardo
2 : 2 Maceratese
22 Mar
Castelfidardo
1 : 0 Calcio Chieti
15 Mar
Castelfidardo
2 : 1 Recanatese
Page 1 of 4
Agnonese
(Away) 19 Jun
Agnonese
2 : 2 Montegiorgio
16 Jun
Castelfidardo
4 : 0 Agnonese
13 Jun
Agnonese
2 : 4 Aprilia
06 Jun
Agnonese
0 : 2 Roma City
30 May
Agnonese
1 : 0 Porto Sant'Elpidio
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16 Jun
Castelfidardo
4 : 0 Agnonese
26 May
Giulianova
0 : 2 Agnonese
23 May
Cynthialbalonga
3 : 0 Agnonese
12 May
Recanatese
5 : 2 Agnonese
09 May
Pineto
3 : 1 Agnonese
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Campobasso | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 63:29 | 72 |
| 2 | Notaresco Calcio | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 59:34 | 64 |
| 3 | Pineto | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 45:33 | 56 |
| 4 | Cynthialbalonga | 34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 51:35 | 56 |
| 5 | Matese | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 46:38 | 56 |
| 6 | Castelfidardo | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 46:33 | 55 |
| 7 | Recanatese | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 62:45 | 50 |
| 8 | Castelnuovo Vomano | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 53:53 | 50 |
| 9 | Vastese | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 45:37 | 48 |
| 10 | Montegiorgio | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 42:42 | 46 |
| 11 | FC Rieti | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 38:42 | 44 |
| 12 | Aprilia | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 43:49 | 44 |
| 13 | Roma City | 34 | 8 | 16 | 10 | 40:41 | 40 |
| 14 | US Tolentino | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 52:53 | 40 |
| 15 | Vastogirardi | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 46:51 | 40 |
| 16 | Giulianova | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 33:50 | 31 |
| 17 | Porto Sant'Elpidio | 34 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 22:63 | 17 |
| 18 | Agnonese | 34 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 25:83 | 15 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
