Sport Picks
Castelfidardo vs Roma City Prediction & H2H Stats
Italy
Serie D - Group F 2024/2025 
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group F 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
19%
35%
46%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Roma City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Castelfidardo have won more games recently than Roma City.
- Roma City are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Castelfidardo Clean Sheet 20%
Roma City Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Castelfidardo | Roma City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 35 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 7 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 19 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 0.87 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.66 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.97 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 13, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Castelfidardo vs Roma City
0:0
Dec 1, 2024 Serie D - Group F
Roma City vs Castelfidardo
0:1
May 22, 2022 Serie D - Group F
Roma City vs Castelfidardo
0:0
Jan 23, 2022 Serie D - Group F
Castelfidardo vs Roma City
1:3
Jun 19, 2021 Serie D - Group F
Roma City vs Castelfidardo
0:3
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Castelfidardo 24 / 100
Roma City 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Castelfidardo Roma City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Roma City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Castelfidardo's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 35 recent games.
Roma City let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.
Castelfidardo has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Castelfidardo VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Castelfidardo
(Home) 03 May
Castelfidardo
0 : 2 AS Sora
26 Apr
Fossombrone
3 : 1 Castelfidardo
19 Apr
Castelfidardo
1 : 3 Vigor Senigallia
12 Apr
Giulianova
0 : 0 Castelfidardo
02 Apr
Castelfidardo
2 : 2 Maceratese
Page 1 of 7
03 May
Castelfidardo
0 : 2 AS Sora
19 Apr
Castelfidardo
1 : 3 Vigor Senigallia
02 Apr
Castelfidardo
2 : 2 Maceratese
22 Mar
Castelfidardo
1 : 0 Calcio Chieti
15 Mar
Castelfidardo
2 : 1 Recanatese
Page 1 of 4
Roma City
(Away) 11 May
AS Sora
1 : 0 Roma City
04 May
Roma City
1 : 1 Vigor Senigallia
27 Apr
Calcio Chieti
1 : 0 Roma City
17 Apr
Roma City
1 : 0 Isernia
13 Apr
Castelfidardo
0 : 0 Roma City
Page 1 of 6
11 May
AS Sora
1 : 0 Roma City
27 Apr
Calcio Chieti
1 : 0 Roma City
13 Apr
Castelfidardo
0 : 0 Roma City
30 Mar
Fossombrone
3 : 2 Roma City
02 Mar
Fermana
1 : 1 Roma City
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sambenedettese | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 61:21 | 72 |
| 2 | Aquila Calcio | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 48:31 | 62 |
| 3 | Teramo | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 51:33 | 60 |
| 4 | Calcio Chieti | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 52:39 | 58 |
| 5 | Fossombrone | 34 | 12 | 14 | 8 | 44:36 | 50 |
| 6 | Ancona | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 35:40 | 47 |
| 7 | Avezzano | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 41:43 | 46 |
| 8 | Castelfidardo | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 39:34 | 45 |
| 9 | Atletico Ascoli | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 35:39 | 43 |
| 10 | Vigor Senigallia | 34 | 9 | 15 | 10 | 36:38 | 42 |
| 11 | Termoli | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 37:44 | 41 |
| 12 | Recanatese | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 42:53 | 40 |
| 13 | AS Sora | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 32:39 | 40 |
| 14 | Notaresco Calcio | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 37:45 | 38 |
| 15 | Civitanovese Calcio | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 31:39 | 37 |
| 16 | Roma City | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 32:36 | 35 |
| 17 | Isernia | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 32:57 | 34 |
| 18 | Fermana | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 24:42 | 27 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2024/2025 (Play Out)
