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Castellana vs Folgore Caratese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group B 2014/2015 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Castellana
33%
Draws
40%
Folgore Caratese
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Folgore Caratese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Folgore Caratese have won more games recently than Castellana.
  • Folgore Caratese are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Castellana Clean Sheet 16%
Folgore Caratese Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Castellana Folgore Caratese
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 15
Draws 7 11
Losses 16 4
Goals Scored 0 1.88
Goals Conceded 0 0.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2015 Serie D - Group B
Castellana vs Folgore Caratese
0:0
Sep 21, 2014 Serie D - Group B
Folgore Caratese vs Castellana
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Castellana 28 / 100
Folgore Caratese 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Castellana Folgore Caratese

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FOL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Castellana's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Folgore Caratese's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Castellana stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Folgore Caratese
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Castiglione36228654:2674
2Lecco36199865:4266
3Seregno Calcio362051164:3765
4Ciserano361791053:3960
5Virtus Verona361514758:3459
6Pergolettese3615101146:4455
7Olginatese361591244:3454
8Ponte San Pietro3614101250:4252
9Ciliverghe Mazzano361491337:4051
10Sondrio361561546:5051
11Aurora Seriate361481442:4350
12Inveruno3613101347:4849
13Villafranca3612111344:4947
14MapelloBonate3612111336:4847
15Pro Sesto361381538:4147
16Caravaggio361181737:4241
17Folgore Caratese367161334:4037
18Castellana36792036:6130
19Montichiari36123326:975