Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Castellana in this Serie D - Group B 2013/2014 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Castellana.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
64%
20%
16%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Castellana
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Castellana lately — more wins on the board than Sambonifacese.
- Win probability leans Castellana's way, sitting at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Castellana Clean Sheet 20%
Sambonifacese Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Castellana | Sambonifacese |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 3 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 17 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 2.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.04 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 23, 2014 Serie D - Group B
Castellana vs Sambonifacese
3:2
Oct 13, 2013 Serie D - Group B
Sambonifacese vs Castellana
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Castellana 49 / 100
Sambonifacese 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Castellana Sambonifacese
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Castellana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Sambonifacese conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.
H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.
Attacking prowess: Castellana scored in 66% of their last 32 outings.
Sambonifacese lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Castellana VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Castellana
(Home) 10 May
Castellana
1 : 2 Villafranca
03 May
Olginatese
5 : 0 Castellana
26 Apr
Castellana
1 : 1 Ciliverghe Mazzano
19 Apr
Pro Sesto
2 : 3 Castellana
12 Apr
Castellana
0 : 2 FC Castiglione
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10 May
Castellana
1 : 2 Villafranca
26 Apr
Castellana
1 : 1 Ciliverghe Mazzano
12 Apr
Castellana
0 : 2 FC Castiglione
29 Mar
Castellana
1 : 1 Ponte San Pietro
15 Mar
Castellana
1 : 3 Virtus Verona
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Sambonifacese
(Away) 04 May
Sambonifacese
2 : 4 Pro Sesto
27 Apr
Caravaggio
1 : 1 Sambonifacese
17 Apr
Pro Piacenza
2 : 0 Sambonifacese
13 Apr
Sambonifacese
0 : 2 Lecco
06 Apr
MapelloBonate
4 : 3 Sambonifacese
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27 Apr
Caravaggio
1 : 1 Sambonifacese
17 Apr
Pro Piacenza
2 : 0 Sambonifacese
06 Apr
MapelloBonate
4 : 3 Sambonifacese
22 Mar
Legnago Salus
0 : 2 Sambonifacese
09 Mar
Borgomanero
2 : 1 Sambonifacese
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pro Piacenza | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 69:45 | 66 |
| 2 | Olginatese | 34 | 14 | 15 | 5 | 43:25 | 57 |
| 3 | Piacenza | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 59:46 | 57 |
| 4 | Seregno Calcio | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 54:46 | 56 |
| 5 | Inveruno | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 65:43 | 55 |
| 6 | Ponte San Pietro | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 44:41 | 53 |
| 7 | Pro Sesto | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 38:32 | 52 |
| 8 | Caravaggio | 34 | 12 | 14 | 8 | 54:40 | 50 |
| 9 | Lecco | 34 | 12 | 14 | 8 | 50:43 | 50 |
| 10 | Aurora Seriate | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 35:39 | 46 |
| 11 | Legnago Salus | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 44:50 | 44 |
| 12 | Castellana | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 39:45 | 42 |
| 13 | MapelloBonate | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 44:56 | 39 |
| 14 | AlzanoCene | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 32:44 | 36 |
| 15 | Borgomanero | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 43:56 | 36 |
| 16 | Gozzano | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 35:41 | 34 |
| 17 | Darfo Boario | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 40:61 | 29 |
| 18 | Sambonifacese | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 34:69 | 25 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2013/2014 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2013/2014 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2013/2014 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2013/2014 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2013/2014 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2013/2014 (Play Out)
