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Castellon B vs La Nucia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Castellon B host La Nucia in the Segunda RFEF - Group 3. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Castellon B have averaged 1.73 scored and 1.65 conceded recently, against La Nucia's 1.43 scored and 0.57 conceded. Past meetings favor La Nucia slightly — 0-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 23, 2025, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.19 - 1.31) back La Nucia to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Castellon B
15%
Draws
36%
La Nucia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Castellon B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Castellon B haven't matched La Nucia's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Castellon B a 49% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Castellon B Clean Sheet 18%
La Nucia Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Castellon B La Nucia
Matches Played 26 28
Wins 11 17
Draws 4 6
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1.73 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.65 0.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
La Nucia vs Castellon B
2:0
Oct 23, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Castellon B vs La Nucia
2:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Castellon B 67 / 100
La Nucia 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Castellon B La Nucia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Castellon B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Castellon B found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (26 games).

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Castellon B went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

La Nucia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 36% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Castellon B VS La Nucia
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Castellon B

(Home)
11 Oct
UD Poblense
2 : 1
Castellon B
03 Oct
Castellon B
2 : 1
Lorca Deportiva
26 Sept
Orihuela
1 : 4
Castellon B
19 Sept
Valencia B
1 : 2
Castellon B
12 Sept
Castellon B
3 : 0
Alcoyano
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La Nucia

(Away)
11 Oct
La Nucia
1 : 3
Lorca Deportiva
04 Oct
Deportiva Minera
2 : 0
La Nucia
27 Sept
La Nucia
2 : 0
Mallorca B
20 Sept
Yeclano
0 : 1
La Nucia
13 Sept
La Nucia
5 : 1
Real Murcia B
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UCAM Murcia 6 4 0 2 14:6 12
2 Castellon B 6 4 0 2 13:7 12
3 La Nucia 6 4 0 2 10:6 12
4 Castellonense 6 4 0 2 10:6 12
5 Ciudad Cieza 6 3 2 1 10:4 11
6 Deportiva Minera 6 3 2 1 8:6 11
7 Alcoyano 6 3 1 2 6:6 10
8 Yeclano 6 2 3 1 5:4 9
9 CF Intercity 6 2 3 1 8:8 9
10 Lorca Deportiva 6 2 2 2 6:5 8
11 Ilicitano 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
12 Orihuela 6 2 1 3 7:14 7
13 Mallorca B 6 1 3 2 4:6 6
14 Baleares 6 1 3 2 8:11 6
15 UD Poblense 6 2 0 4 5:8 6
16 Pena Deportiva 6 1 1 4 6:9 4
17 Valencia B 6 1 1 4 6:11 4
18 Real Murcia B 6 1 1 4 5:12 4
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)