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Castellon vs Alicante - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 6 2011/2012
Castellon Logo

Castellon

2 - 1
FT
Alicante Logo

Alicante

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 6 2011/2012 game between Castellon and Alicante finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Castellon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
Castellon
15%
Draws
16%
Alicante
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Castellon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Castellon carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Castellon a 69% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 6 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Castellon Clean Sheet 20%
Alicante Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Castellon Alicante
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 6
Draws 9 3
Losses 5 21
Goals Scored 1.7 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.2 2.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Castellon vs Alicante
2:1
Oct 5, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Alicante vs Castellon
2:0
Mar 20, 2011 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Alicante vs Castellon
0:1
Oct 31, 2010 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Castellon vs Alicante
0:1
Feb 15, 2009 LaLiga2
Castellon vs Alicante
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Castellon 85 / 100
Alicante 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Castellon Alicante

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Castellon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Castellon's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Alicante let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Castellon remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Castellon VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Castellon

(Home)
04 Oct
Castellon
1 : 1
AD Ceuta
28 Sept
Leganes
0 : 2
Castellon
19 Sept
Castellon
5 : 0
Tenerife
12 Sept
Girona
1 : 2
Castellon
06 Sept
Castellon
2 : 0
Albacete
Page 1 of 6

Alicante

(Away)
12 May
UD Altea
4 : 0
Alicante
06 May
Alicante
0 : 1
Levante B
29 Apr
Alicante
0 : 4
Eldense
21 Apr
CD Llosa
4 : 0
Alicante
15 Apr
Alicante
1 : 0
UD Juventud Barrio del Cristo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Catarroja CF 42 27 11 4 78:34 92
2 Levante B 42 28 8 6 74:32 92
3 Muro 42 25 6 11 83:56 81
4 Alzira 42 22 13 7 62:33 79
5 Acero 42 24 6 12 70:42 78
6 La Nucia 42 23 9 10 71:41 78
7 Torrevieja 42 21 11 10 64:36 74
8 Novelda CF 42 21 9 12 57:50 72
9 Castellon 42 20 9 13 47:40 69
10 Espanol de San Vicente 42 18 8 16 67:53 62
11 Villarreal C 42 18 8 16 82:59 62
12 Borriol 42 16 11 15 72:67 59
13 Atletico Saguntino 42 14 10 18 47:50 52
14 Eldense 42 14 8 20 54:64 50
15 Ribarroja 42 14 7 21 47:50 49
16 Crevillente 42 12 11 19 48:66 47
17 CD Llosa 42 11 12 19 55:67 45
18 SC Requena 42 12 7 23 57:72 43
19 Alicante 42 7 8 27 37:91 29
20 Mislata 42 7 6 29 45:92 27
21 UD Juventud Barrio del Cristo 42 5 12 25 35:78 27
22 UD Altea 42 5 6 31 29:108 21
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)