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Castellon vs CD Segorbe

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 6 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 6 2016/2017 game between Castellon and CD Segorbe finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Castellon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Castellon
15%
Draws
0%
CD Segorbe
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Castellon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Castellon carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Castellon a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Castellon Clean Sheet 20%
CD Segorbe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Castellon CD Segorbe
Matches Played 41 30
Wins 21 1
Draws 12 6
Losses 8 23
Goals Scored 1.73 0.6
Goals Conceded 1.15 2.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 29, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Castellon vs CD Segorbe
4:1
Sep 14, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
CD Segorbe vs Castellon
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Castellon 85 / 100
CD Segorbe 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Castellon CD Segorbe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Castellon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Castellon scored in 93% of their last 41 games.

CD Segorbe's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Difficult form: CD Segorbe registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Castellon VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Castellon

(Home)
31 Aug
Celta Vigo B
1 : 2
Castellon
23 Aug
Castellon
0 : 0
Sabadell
14 Aug
Real Sociedad B
0 : 1
Castellon
08 Aug
Castellon
1 : 3
Levante
07 Aug
Hercules
0 : 1
Castellon
Page 1 of 9

CD Segorbe

(Away)
13 May
CD Segorbe
0 : 4
CD Almazora
30 Apr
Ilicitano
4 : 1
CD Segorbe
23 Apr
CD Segorbe
0 : 3
Rayo Ibense
13 Apr
Torre Levante
2 : 0
CD Segorbe
08 Apr
CD Segorbe
0 : 3
Olimpic Xativa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpic Xativa 40 25 12 3 68:19 87
2 Alzira 40 23 11 6 61:25 80
3 Ontinyent 40 24 4 12 56:29 76
4 Castellon 40 22 10 8 65:31 76
5 Orihuela 40 19 14 7 62:31 71
6 Novelda CF 40 20 10 10 46:27 70
7 Villarreal C 40 19 12 9 67:47 69
8 Ilicitano 40 20 8 12 58:37 68
9 Torre Levante 40 18 7 15 58:50 61
10 Crevillente 40 15 13 12 39:37 58
11 Silla CF 40 14 9 17 51:57 51
12 Rayo Ibense 40 13 10 17 49:56 49
13 CD Almazora 40 11 15 14 43:48 48
14 Catarroja CF 40 11 13 16 33:44 46
15 Borriol 40 12 9 19 41:55 45
16 Paterna 40 9 16 15 35:60 43
17 CD Bunol 40 11 9 20 44:62 42
18 Muro 40 10 9 21 39:50 39
19 Torrevieja 40 10 5 25 38:71 35
20 Almoradi 40 6 9 25 32:77 27
21 CD Segorbe 40 2 7 31 22:94 13
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2016/2017 (Main)