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Castellon vs Gijon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

LaLiga2 Estadio Municipal de Castalia, Castellón de la Plana
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
05:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Castellon host Gijon in the LaLiga2. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Gijon have shipped 1.28 goals a game lately, while Castellon have conceded 1.16 and scored 1.68. Head-to-head, Castellon have won 3 to Gijon's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 15, 2026, ending 4:1. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 0.75, favoring Castellon. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Castellon
15%
Draws
46%
Gijon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gijon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Castellon have won more games recently than Gijon.
  • Win probability leans Castellon's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular LaLiga2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Castellon Clean Sheet 20%
Gijon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Castellon Gijon
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 16 14
Draws 9 2
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.68 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 LaLiga2
Gijon vs Castellon
4:1
Oct 5, 2025 LaLiga2
Castellon vs Gijon
3:1
May 5, 2025 LaLiga2
Castellon vs Gijon
4:3
Oct 14, 2024 LaLiga2
Gijon vs Castellon
2:1
Jan 24, 2021 LaLiga2
Castellon vs Gijon
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Castellon 76 / 100
Gijon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Castellon Gijon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Castellon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Castellon found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (31 games).

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Gijon has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Castellon went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Castellon VS Gijon
1.75 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Castellon

(Home)
17 Oct
Las Palmas
0 : 3
Castellon
11 Oct
FC Andorra
1 : 0
Castellon
04 Oct
Castellon
1 : 1
AD Ceuta
28 Sept
Leganes
0 : 2
Castellon
19 Sept
Castellon
5 : 0
Tenerife
Page 1 of 7

Gijon

(Away)
17 Oct
Gijon
2 : 1
Albacete
11 Oct
Cadiz
0 : 1
Gijon
04 Oct
Gijon
3 : 2
Celta Vigo B
27 Sept
Real Oviedo
2 : 0
Gijon
19 Sept
FC Andorra
1 : 3
Gijon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Almeria 10 8 0 2 20:7 24
2 Castellon 10 7 2 1 18:4 23
3 Eibar 10 7 1 2 20:11 22
4 Gijon 10 6 1 3 11:9 19
5 Mallorca 10 5 3 2 12:5 18
6 Sabadell 9 4 4 1 10:7 16
7 Girona 9 4 3 2 15:9 15
8 Burgos CF 9 4 2 3 12:10 14
9 Real Oviedo 9 4 2 3 11:9 14
10 Granada CF 9 4 2 3 14:13 14
11 Valladolid 9 3 3 3 13:11 12
12 Tenerife 9 3 3 3 11:13 12
13 Cordoba 10 4 0 6 15:20 12
14 Celta Vigo B 9 3 2 4 14:15 11
15 Eldense 9 3 2 4 10:11 11
16 Las Palmas 10 3 2 5 13:19 11
17 Leganes 10 3 2 5 6:15 11
18 FC Andorra 9 3 1 5 13:15 10
19 Real Sociedad B 10 2 2 6 14:21 8
20 Cadiz 9 1 4 4 11:11 7
21 AD Ceuta 9 1 2 6 8:20 5
22 Albacete 10 0 1 9 6:22 1
Promotion - LaLiga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Promotion - Play Offs)