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Castellon vs Southampton

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Camara O.
17'
Quarshie J.
17'
Sub
Camara O. In: Bosilj D.
Out: Camara O.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Castellon and Southampton finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Castellon
15%
Draws
54%
Southampton
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Southampton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Southampton carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Southampton a 54% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Castellon Clean Sheet 19%
Southampton Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Castellon Southampton
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 14 21
Draws 9 5
Losses 7 2
Goals Scored 1.63 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.37 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.16 1.27
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 23, 2025 Club Friendly
Castellon vs Southampton
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Castellon Compare

Top Goalscorer Mamah K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.89
Avg xA / game 0.58

Southampton Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.71

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Castellon 16 / 100
Southampton 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Castellon Southampton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Southampton Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Castellon scored in 93% of their last 30 games.

Southampton's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Castellon stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Castellon VS Southampton
1.75 Goals Scored 1.29
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.57
88% Over 1.5 57%
50% Over 2.5 43%
25% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Castellon

(Home)
14 Aug
Real Sociedad B
0 : 1
Castellon
08 Aug
Castellon
1 : 3
Levante
07 Aug
Hercules
0 : 1
Castellon
31 Jul
Alaves
3 : 0
Castellon
29 Jul
Girona
3 : 3
Castellon
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Southampton

(Away)
16 Aug
Watford
2 : 1
Southampton
08 Aug
Colchester
0 : 2
Southampton
01 Aug
Preussen Munster
1 : 2
Southampton
24 Jul
Braunschweig
0 : 1
Southampton
18 Jul
Eastleigh
1 : 3
Southampton
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