Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Castellon vs Tenerife

Spain Spain

LaLiga2 Estadio Municipal de Castalia, Castellón de la Plana
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Barri
Assist: Suero I.
24' Event
Orozco M.
Assist: Jakobsen A.
29' Event
Camara O.
Assist: Cordoba I.

AI Match Summary

The LaLiga2 game between Castellon and Tenerife finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Castellon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Castellon
20%
Draws
28%
Tenerife
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Castellon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Castellon come out ahead of Tenerife on wins alone.
  • Model gives Castellon a 52% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Castellon Clean Sheet 68%
Tenerife Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Castellon Tenerife
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 14
Draws 9 9
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.74 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.35 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 LaLiga2
Castellon vs Tenerife
5:0
Jan 11, 2025 LaLiga2
Tenerife vs Castellon
2:0
Sep 29, 2024 LaLiga2
Castellon vs Tenerife
2:1
Apr 25, 2021 LaLiga2
Tenerife vs Castellon
1:1
Jan 6, 2021 Copa del Rey
Castellon vs Tenerife
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Castellon Compare

Top Goalscorer Camara O.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Barri
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Tenerife Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Castellon 95 / 100
Tenerife 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Castellon Tenerife

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Castellon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Castellon found the back of the net in 94% of recent matches (31 games).

Solid form: Castellon remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Tenerife's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Castellon VS Tenerife
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Castellon

(Home)
19 Sept
Castellon
5 : 0
Tenerife
12 Sept
Girona
1 : 2
Castellon
06 Sept
Castellon
2 : 0
Albacete
31 Aug
Celta Vigo B
1 : 2
Castellon
23 Aug
Castellon
0 : 0
Sabadell
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Tenerife

(Away)
19 Sept
Castellon
5 : 0
Tenerife
13 Sept
Tenerife
2 : 0
Leganes
05 Sept
Real Sociedad B
1 : 1
Tenerife
28 Aug
Tenerife
0 : 1
Gijon
23 Aug
Tenerife
1 : 0
Almeria
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Castellon 6 5 1 0 12:2 16
2 Eibar 6 5 0 1 12:4 15
3 Girona 7 4 1 2 14:8 13
4 Mallorca 6 4 1 1 8:2 13
5 Almeria 6 4 0 2 10:4 12
6 Sabadell 7 3 3 1 8:6 12
7 Burgos CF 6 3 2 1 10:7 11
8 Leganes 6 3 2 1 6:5 11
9 Tenerife 7 3 2 2 8:9 11
10 Gijon 6 3 1 2 5:4 10
11 Las Palmas 6 3 1 2 8:8 10
12 Real Oviedo 6 2 2 2 5:4 8
13 Granada CF 7 2 2 3 10:11 8
14 Real Sociedad B 7 2 2 3 9:10 8
15 Celta Vigo B 7 2 2 3 8:11 8
16 FC Andorra 7 2 0 5 12:15 6
17 Cordoba 6 2 0 4 9:13 6
18 Eldense 6 1 2 3 4:8 5
19 Valladolid 6 1 2 3 3:8 5
20 Cadiz 7 0 4 3 7:10 4
21 AD Ceuta 7 1 1 5 6:17 4
22 Albacete 7 0 1 6 4:12 1
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