Sport Picks
Castellonense vs La Nucia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Segunda RFEF - Group 3 
AI Match Summary
Castellonense host La Nucia in the Segunda RFEF - Group 3. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. La Nucia have shipped 0.55 goals a game lately, while Castellonense have conceded 0.93 and scored 1.52. Past meetings favor Castellonense slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 4, 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (0.94 - 1.19) back La Nucia to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- La Nucia carry the better recent record into this one.
- Castellonense are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Castellonense | La Nucia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 18 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 8 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.52 | 1.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 0.55 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Castellonense found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).
Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.
Solid form: Castellonense remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
La Nucia let in goals in 34% of their last 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Castellonense
(Home)La Nucia
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UCAM Murcia | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 14:6 | 12 |
| 2 | Castellon B | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13:7 | 12 |
| 3 | La Nucia | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10:6 | 12 |
| 4 | Castellonense | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10:6 | 12 |
| 5 | Ciudad Cieza | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:4 | 11 |
| 6 | Deportiva Minera | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:6 | 11 |
| 7 | Alcoyano | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 10 |
| 8 | Yeclano | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5:4 | 9 |
| 9 | CF Intercity | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:8 | 9 |
| 10 | Lorca Deportiva | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:5 | 8 |
| 11 | Ilicitano | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:9 | 7 |
| 12 | Orihuela | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:14 | 7 |
| 13 | Mallorca B | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4:6 | 6 |
| 14 | Baleares | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8:11 | 6 |
| 15 | UD Poblense | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:8 | 6 |
| 16 | Pena Deportiva | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:9 | 4 |
| 17 | Valencia B | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | 4 |
| 18 | Real Murcia B | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:12 | 4 |
