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Stadium Background

Castellonense vs La Nucia

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Garijo I.
54' Event
Garijo I.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2025/2026 game between Castellonense and La Nucia finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Castellonense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Castellonense
15%
Draws
46%
La Nucia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: La Nucia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • La Nucia have managed 1.24 goals a game lately — Castellonense are scoring more at 1.61.
  • Castellonense are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 41.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 15%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Castellonense Clean Sheet 68%
La Nucia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Castellonense La Nucia
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 17 17
Draws 5 8
Losses 6 4
Goals Scored 1.61 1.24
Goals Conceded 0.86 0.48
Expected Goals (xG) 0.77 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Castellonense vs La Nucia
2:0
Nov 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
La Nucia vs Castellonense
0:2
May 25, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
La Nucia vs Castellonense
1:2
May 17, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Castellonense vs La Nucia
0:0
Apr 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Castellonense vs La Nucia
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Castellonense Compare

Top Goalscorer Garijo I.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.59
Avg xA / game 0.39

La Nucia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Castellonense 51 / 100
La Nucia 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Castellonense La Nucia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Castellonense scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Castellonense has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

La Nucia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 34% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Castellonense VS La Nucia
1.17 Goals Scored 1.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.38
33% Over 1.5 50%
33% Over 2.5 38%
17% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Castellonense

(Home)
05 Sept
Castellonense
2 : 1
UCAM Murcia
19 Aug
Torrent
0 : 1
Castellonense
09 May
Castellonense
0 : 1
Atzeneta
02 May
Hercules B
1 : 4
Castellonense
26 Apr
Castellonense
1 : 1
Atletico Saguntino
Page 1 of 6

La Nucia

(Away)
06 Sept
La Nucia
1 : 0
UD Poblense
12 Aug
Atzeneta
0 : 3
La Nucia
08 Aug
La Nucia
1 : 2
Alcoyano
05 Aug
La Nucia
1 : 0
CF Intercity
20 Jun
La Nucia
1 : 0
Trival Valderas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Castellonense 34 20 7 7 56:30 67
2 Atletico Saguntino 34 20 6 8 50:30 66
3 Levante B 34 18 11 5 54:26 65
4 Villarreal C 34 19 6 9 63:36 63
5 La Nucia 34 16 13 5 44:26 61
6 CD Bunol 34 13 11 10 34:40 50
7 Vall de Uxo 34 13 10 11 31:29 49
8 Ontinyent 1931 CF 34 13 9 12 32:30 48
9 Torrellano 34 13 8 13 40:38 47
10 Soneja 34 13 6 15 35:42 45
11 Hercules B 34 10 11 13 31:46 41
12 Roda 34 11 7 16 32:45 40
13 Crevillente 34 9 11 14 44:49 38
14 Espanol de San Vicente 34 10 8 16 35:44 38
15 Atzeneta 34 10 7 17 29:39 37
16 Utiel 34 7 10 17 30:45 31
17 Alzira 34 7 10 17 32:49 31
18 Recambios Colon 34 2 13 19 27:55 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2025/2026 (Play Offs)