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Castellonense vs Ontinyent 1931 CF Prediction & H2H Stats

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Martinez Oca A.
19' Event
Garijo I.
62' Event
Murillo A.

AI Match Summary

Ontinyent 1931 CF in this Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ontinyent 1931 CF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Castellonense
15%
Draws
36%
Ontinyent 1931 CF
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Castellonense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Ontinyent 1931 CF haven't matched Castellonense's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Castellonense's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Ontinyent 1931 CF have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Castellonense Clean Sheet 20%
Ontinyent 1931 CF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Castellonense Ontinyent 1931 CF
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 12
Draws 5 6
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.48 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.86 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Castellonense vs Ontinyent 1931 CF
2:3
Jan 21, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Ontinyent 1931 CF vs Castellonense
3:2
Feb 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Ontinyent 1931 CF vs Castellonense
0:1
Oct 5, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Castellonense vs Ontinyent 1931 CF
1:2
Mar 20, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Ontinyent 1931 CF vs Castellonense
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Castellonense Compare

Top Goalscorer Garijo I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Murillo A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Ontinyent 1931 CF Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez Oca A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pastor L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Castellonense 42 / 100
Ontinyent 1931 CF 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Castellonense Ontinyent 1931 CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Castellonense found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Ontinyent 1931 CF's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Castellonense went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Castellonense VS Ontinyent 1931 CF
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Castellonense

(Home)
27 Sept
Lorca Deportiva
1 : 0
Castellonense
19 Sept
Castellonense
1 : 0
Ciudad Cieza
13 Sept
UD Poblense
1 : 2
Castellonense
05 Sept
Castellonense
2 : 1
UCAM Murcia
19 Aug
Torrent
0 : 1
Castellonense
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Ontinyent 1931 CF

(Away)
27 Sept
Ontinyent 1931 CF
3 : 0
CD Bunol
20 Sept
Levante B
2 : 0
Ontinyent 1931 CF
13 Sept
Ontinyent 1931 CF
1 : 0
Atletico Saguntino
06 Sept
Roda
2 : 1
Ontinyent 1931 CF
28 Aug
Utiel
1 : 3
Ontinyent 1931 CF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Castellonense 34 20 7 7 56:30 67
2 Atletico Saguntino 34 20 6 8 50:30 66
3 Levante B 34 18 11 5 54:26 65
4 Villarreal C 34 19 6 9 63:36 63
5 La Nucia 34 16 13 5 44:26 61
6 CD Bunol 34 13 11 10 34:40 50
7 Vall de Uxo 34 13 10 11 31:29 49
8 Ontinyent 1931 CF 34 13 9 12 32:30 48
9 Torrellano 34 13 8 13 40:38 47
10 Soneja 34 13 6 15 35:42 45
11 Hercules B 34 10 11 13 31:46 41
12 Roda 34 11 7 16 32:45 40
13 Crevillente 34 9 11 14 44:49 38
14 Espanol de San Vicente 34 10 8 16 35:44 38
15 Atzeneta 34 10 7 17 29:39 37
16 Utiel 34 7 10 17 30:45 31
17 Alzira 34 7 10 17 32:49 31
18 Recambios Colon 34 2 13 19 27:55 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2025/2026 (Play Offs)