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Castellonense vs Real Murcia B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Winstanley J.
40' Event
Candel S.
73' Event
Rodriguez J.

AI Match Summary

Castellonense in this Segunda RFEF - Group 3 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Castellonense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Castellonense
15%
Draws
17%
Real Murcia B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Castellonense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Castellonense have won more games recently than Real Murcia B.
  • Model gives Castellonense a 68% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Castellonense Clean Sheet 68%
Real Murcia B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Castellonense Real Murcia B
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 16 10
Draws 5 7
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.5 1.29
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Castellonense vs Real Murcia B
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Castellonense Compare

Top Goalscorer Winstanley J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Candel S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Real Murcia B Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Castellonense 95 / 100
Real Murcia B 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Castellonense Real Murcia B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Castellonense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Castellonense found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Real Murcia B conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Castellonense remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Castellonense VS Real Murcia B
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
38% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Castellonense

(Home)
04 Oct
Castellonense
3 : 0
Real Murcia B
27 Sept
Lorca Deportiva
1 : 0
Castellonense
19 Sept
Castellonense
1 : 0
Ciudad Cieza
13 Sept
UD Poblense
1 : 2
Castellonense
05 Sept
Castellonense
2 : 1
UCAM Murcia
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Real Murcia B

(Away)
04 Oct
Castellonense
3 : 0
Real Murcia B
27 Sept
Pena Deportiva
0 : 2
Real Murcia B
20 Sept
Real Murcia B
0 : 1
Mallorca B
13 Sept
La Nucia
5 : 1
Real Murcia B
05 Sept
Real Murcia B
1 : 2
Orihuela
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Castellon B 5 4 0 1 12:5 12
2 La Nucia 5 4 0 1 9:3 12
3 Castellonense 5 4 0 1 8:3 12
4 Alcoyano 5 3 1 1 6:4 10
5 UCAM Murcia 5 3 0 2 12:6 9
6 CF Intercity 5 2 3 0 7:5 9
7 Ciudad Cieza 5 2 2 1 7:3 8
8 Deportiva Minera 5 2 2 1 5:4 8
9 Yeclano 5 2 2 1 4:3 8
10 Ilicitano 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
11 Orihuela 5 2 1 2 6:11 7
12 Lorca Deportiva 5 1 2 2 3:4 5
13 Mallorca B 5 1 2 2 2:4 5
14 Baleares 5 1 2 2 6:9 5
15 Valencia B 6 1 1 4 6:11 4
16 UD Poblense 5 1 0 4 3:7 3
17 Real Murcia B 5 1 0 4 4:11 3
18 Pena Deportiva 5 0 1 4 3:8 1
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)