Sport Picks

Brazil

Paraense Women 2024

Tuna Luso W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Castelo dos Sonhos W play Tuna Luso W in the Paraense Women 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Castelo dos Sonhos W averaged 3.88 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. Tuna Luso W averaged 3.76 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Castelo dos Sonhos W won 0, Tuna Luso W won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 25, 2024 ended 0:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for Castelo dos Sonhos W and 2.06 for Tuna Luso W. This points to a Tuna Luso W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%

Castelo dos Sonhos W

15%

Draws

53%

Tuna Luso W

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tuna Luso W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence

Castelo dos Sonhos W picked up more points recently compared to Tuna Luso W.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.75 vs 2.06 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 74%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 84%

Over 2.5 Goals 74%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 22%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39%

Castelo dos Sonhos W Clean Sheet 10%

Tuna Luso W Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 76%

Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Castelo dos Sonhos W	Tuna Luso W
Matches Played	8	21
Wins	4	13
Draws	0	2
Losses	4	6
Goals Scored	3.88	3.76
Goals Conceded	1.38	1
Expected Goals (xG)	2.75	2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 25, 2024 Paraense Women

Castelo dos Sonhos W vs Tuna Luso W

Possession: 49% - 54% Cards: 1 - 1

0:4

Nov 8, 2024 Paraense Women

Tuna Luso W vs Castelo dos Sonhos W

Possession: 50% - 49% Cards: 3 - 3

2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Castelo dos Sonhos W 31 / 100

Tuna Luso W 50 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Castelo dos Sonhos W Tuna Luso W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tuna Luso W Win (2)

Secondary Pick Tuna Luso W & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +33.4%

4.17

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +8.8%

1.47

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Castelo dos Sonhos W attacking → ← attacking Tuna Luso W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Castelo dos Sonhos W scored in 75% of their last 8 games.

Tuna Luso W let in goals in 62% of their last 21 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Castelo dos Sonhos W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Tuna Luso W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

12 Points in last 5 41

2.75 Goals expected (xG) 2.38

1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Tuna Luso W	8	7	1	0	65:3	22
2	Remo W	8	6	1	1	31:3	19
3	Castelo dos Sonhos W	8	4	0	4	31:11	12
4	Cruzeirao W	8	2	0	6	13:47	6
5	Atletico JM9 W	8	0	0	8	1:77	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Tiradentes PA W	8	7	1	0	41:4	22
2	Paysandu PA W	8	6	1	1	41:2	19
3	Cabanos W	8	4	0	4	19:19	12
4	Atletico Boca Junior W	8	2	0	6	9:53	6
5	Ponte Nova PA W	8	0	0	8	4:36	0