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Castelo FC vs Vitoria ES

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Capixaba 2015
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AI Match Summary

Castelo FC in this Campeonato Capixaba 2015 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Castelo FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Castelo FC
6%
Draws
4%
Vitoria ES
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Castelo FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Vitoria ES have won more games recently than Castelo FC.
  • Model gives Castelo FC a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Castelo FC Clean Sheet 15%
Vitoria ES Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Castelo FC Vitoria ES
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 15
Draws 9 8
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 0 2
Goals Conceded 0 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2019 Capixaba
Castelo FC vs Vitoria ES
0:4
May 2, 2015 Capixaba
Castelo FC vs Vitoria ES
1:0
Apr 15, 2015 Capixaba
Vitoria ES vs Castelo FC
2:2
Apr 12, 2014 Capixaba
Vitoria ES vs Castelo FC
2:1
Feb 9, 2014 Capixaba
Castelo FC vs Vitoria ES
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Castelo FC 84 / 100
Vitoria ES 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Castelo FC Vitoria ES

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Castelo FC's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Vitoria ES let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Castelo FC has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Vitoria ES
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Castelo FC

(Home)
18 Nov
Vilavelhense
2 : 2
Castelo FC
13 Nov
Castelo FC
0 : 1
Vilavelhense
26 Oct
Capixaba SC
3 : 2
Castelo FC
18 Oct
Castelo FC
3 : 0
Sport-ES
15 Oct
GEL
1 : 7
Castelo FC
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Vitoria ES

(Away)
01 Jul
Vitoria ES
0 : 1
Rio Branco-VN
27 Jun
Betim FC
2 : 0
Vitoria ES
23 Jun
Vitoria ES
1 : 0
Vilavelhense
20 Jun
Vitoria ES
1 : 0
Betim FC
17 Jun
Vilavelhense
2 : 2
Vitoria ES
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