Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group D 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
60%
20%
20%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Castelvetro
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Castelvetro have won more games recently than Pianese.
- Win probability leans Pianese's way, sitting at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Castelvetro Clean Sheet 21%
Pianese Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Castelvetro | Pianese |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 7 |
| Draws | 6 | 14 |
| Losses | 15 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.23 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.87 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.04 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 28, 2018 Serie D - Group D
Castelvetro vs Pianese
3:3
Sep 24, 2017 Serie D - Group D
Pianese vs Castelvetro
0:0
Jan 29, 2017 Serie D - Group D
Castelvetro vs Pianese
2:1
Sep 25, 2016 Serie D - Group D
Pianese vs Castelvetro
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Castelvetro 24 / 100
Pianese 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Castelvetro Pianese
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Pianese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Castelvetro scored in 67% of their last 30 games.
Defensive concern: Pianese conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Pianese lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Pianese
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Castelvetro
(Home) 21 Jul
Modena
9 : 0 Castelvetro
20 May
Castelvetro
0 : 2 Mezzolara
06 May
Romagna Centro
2 : 0 Castelvetro
29 Apr
Castelvetro
2 : 0 Sporting Trestina
22 Apr
Mezzolara
1 : 3 Castelvetro
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20 May
Castelvetro
0 : 2 Mezzolara
29 Apr
Castelvetro
2 : 0 Sporting Trestina
15 Apr
Castelvetro
1 : 1 Colligiana
29 Mar
Castelvetro
0 : 3 Vigor Carpaneto
18 Mar
Castelvetro
3 : 2 Sangiovannese
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Pianese
(Away) 26 Sept
Livorno
3 : 2 Pianese
21 Sept
Pianese
1 : 1 Sambenedettese
16 Sept
Sassari Torres
2 : 1 Pianese
12 Sept
Pianese
0 : 0 Grosseto
05 Sept
Guidonia 1937
1 : 0 Pianese
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26 Sept
Livorno
3 : 2 Pianese
16 Sept
Sassari Torres
2 : 1 Pianese
05 Sept
Guidonia 1937
1 : 0 Pianese
23 Aug
Campobasso
2 : 0 Pianese
15 Aug
Carpi
3 : 2 Pianese
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rimini | 38 | 23 | 11 | 4 | 65:38 | 80 |
| 2 | Imolese | 38 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 72:45 | 71 |
| 3 | Forli FC | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 60:43 | 65 |
| 4 | Fiorenzuola | 38 | 16 | 16 | 6 | 50:32 | 64 |
| 5 | Sangiovannese | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 42:38 | 61 |
| 6 | Lentigione | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 45:33 | 60 |
| 7 | Villabiagio | 38 | 17 | 8 | 13 | 52:49 | 59 |
| 8 | Pianese | 38 | 14 | 16 | 8 | 54:35 | 58 |
| 9 | Montevarchi | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 42:40 | 56 |
| 10 | Romagna Centro | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 49:42 | 54 |
| 11 | Sammaurese | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 34:29 | 54 |
| 12 | Sasso Marconi | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 35:48 | 45 |
| 13 | Vigor Carpaneto | 38 | 9 | 18 | 11 | 50:48 | 45 |
| 14 | Tuttocuoio | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 25:34 | 42 |
| 15 | Sporting Trestina | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 36:52 | 41 |
| 16 | Castelvetro | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 46:62 | 38 |
| 17 | Mezzolara | 38 | 7 | 15 | 16 | 34:50 | 36 |
| 18 | Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro | 38 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 40:62 | 33 |
| 19 | Correggese | 38 | 6 | 14 | 18 | 37:55 | 32 |
| 20 | Colligiana | 38 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 27:60 | 29 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2017/2018 (Play Offs)
