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Castelvetro vs Sporting Trestina

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group D 2017/2018 game between Castelvetro and Sporting Trestina finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Castelvetro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Castelvetro
20%
Draws
20%
Sporting Trestina
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Castelvetro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Sporting Trestina haven't matched Castelvetro's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Serie D - Group D 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Castelvetro Clean Sheet 19%
Sporting Trestina Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Castelvetro Sporting Trestina
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 9 8
Draws 6 11
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 1.19 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.84 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2018 Serie D - Group D
Castelvetro vs Sporting Trestina
2:0
Dec 10, 2017 Serie D - Group D
Sporting Trestina vs Castelvetro
2:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Castelvetro 32 / 100
Sporting Trestina 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Castelvetro Sporting Trestina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sporting Trestina conceded in 81% of 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Castelvetro found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (31 games).

Sporting Trestina's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sporting Trestina
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Castelvetro

(Home)
21 Jul
Modena
9 : 0
Castelvetro
20 May
Castelvetro
0 : 2
Mezzolara
06 May
Romagna Centro
2 : 0
Castelvetro
29 Apr
Castelvetro
2 : 0
Sporting Trestina
22 Apr
Mezzolara
1 : 3
Castelvetro
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Sporting Trestina

(Away)
06 Sept
Sporting Trestina
2 : 5
Vigor Senigallia
29 Jul
Gubbio
2 : 0
Sporting Trestina
03 May
Siena
4 : 4
Sporting Trestina
26 Apr
Sporting Trestina
0 : 2
Prato
19 Apr
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
1 : 1
Sporting Trestina
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rimini 38 23 11 4 65:38 80
2 Imolese 38 21 8 9 72:45 71
3 Forli FC 38 18 11 9 60:43 65
4 Fiorenzuola 38 16 16 6 50:32 64
5 Sangiovannese 38 17 10 11 42:38 61
6 Lentigione 38 16 12 10 45:33 60
7 Villabiagio 38 17 8 13 52:49 59
8 Pianese 38 14 16 8 54:35 58
9 Montevarchi 38 16 8 14 42:40 56
10 Romagna Centro 38 14 12 12 49:42 54
11 Sammaurese 38 14 12 12 34:29 54
12 Sasso Marconi 38 11 12 15 35:48 45
13 Vigor Carpaneto 38 9 18 11 50:48 45
14 Tuttocuoio 38 10 12 16 25:34 42
15 Sporting Trestina 38 10 11 17 36:52 41
16 Castelvetro 38 10 8 20 46:62 38
17 Mezzolara 38 7 15 16 34:50 36
18 Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro 38 7 12 19 40:62 33
19 Correggese 38 6 14 18 37:55 32
20 Colligiana 38 7 8 23 27:60 29
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2017/2018 (Play Offs)