Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Castelvetro vs Tuttocuoio

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Castelvetro in this Serie D - Group D 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Castelvetro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Castelvetro
15%
Draws
12%
Tuttocuoio
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Castelvetro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Castelvetro have won more games recently than Tuttocuoio.
  • Win probability leans Castelvetro's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Castelvetro Clean Sheet 20%
Tuttocuoio Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Castelvetro Tuttocuoio
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 0
Draws 6 7
Losses 15 24
Goals Scored 1.23 0.48
Goals Conceded 1.87 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2018 Serie D - Group D
Castelvetro vs Tuttocuoio
2:0
Oct 15, 2017 Serie D - Group D
Tuttocuoio vs Castelvetro
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Castelvetro 49 / 100
Tuttocuoio 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Castelvetro Tuttocuoio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Castelvetro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tuttocuoio has conceded goals in 94% of their last 31 outings.

Castelvetro found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Tuttocuoio registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Tuttocuoio
0 Goals Scored 0.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Castelvetro

(Home)
21 Jul
Modena
9 : 0
Castelvetro
20 May
Castelvetro
0 : 2
Mezzolara
06 May
Romagna Centro
2 : 0
Castelvetro
29 Apr
Castelvetro
2 : 0
Sporting Trestina
22 Apr
Mezzolara
1 : 3
Castelvetro
Page 1 of 6

Tuttocuoio

(Away)
03 May
Tuttocuoio
3 : 3
Trevigliese
26 Apr
Pro Sesto
2 : 0
Tuttocuoio
19 Apr
Tuttocuoio
0 : 1
Sant'Angelo
12 Apr
Lentigione
1 : 0
Tuttocuoio
02 Apr
Tuttocuoio
0 : 2
SCD Progresso
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rimini 38 23 11 4 65:38 80
2 Imolese 38 21 8 9 72:45 71
3 Forli FC 38 18 11 9 60:43 65
4 Fiorenzuola 38 16 16 6 50:32 64
5 Sangiovannese 38 17 10 11 42:38 61
6 Lentigione 38 16 12 10 45:33 60
7 Villabiagio 38 17 8 13 52:49 59
8 Pianese 38 14 16 8 54:35 58
9 Montevarchi 38 16 8 14 42:40 56
10 Romagna Centro 38 14 12 12 49:42 54
11 Sammaurese 38 14 12 12 34:29 54
12 Sasso Marconi 38 11 12 15 35:48 45
13 Vigor Carpaneto 38 9 18 11 50:48 45
14 Tuttocuoio 38 10 12 16 25:34 42
15 Sporting Trestina 38 10 11 17 36:52 41
16 Castelvetro 38 10 8 20 46:62 38
17 Mezzolara 38 7 15 16 34:50 36
18 Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro 38 7 12 19 40:62 33
19 Correggese 38 6 14 18 37:55 32
20 Colligiana 38 7 8 23 27:60 29
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2017/2018 (Play Offs)