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Castilleja CF vs Bollullos

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Ponce A.

AI Match Summary

Bollullos in this Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bollullos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Castilleja CF
20%
Draws
51%
Bollullos
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bollullos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bollullos lately — more wins on the board than Castilleja CF.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Castilleja CF Clean Sheet 68%
Bollullos Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Castilleja CF Bollullos
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 11
Draws 7 10
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 0.93 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Castilleja CF vs Bollullos
0:1
Oct 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Bollullos vs Castilleja CF
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Castilleja CF Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Bollullos Compare

Top Goalscorer Ponce A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Castilleja CF 42 / 100
Bollullos 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Castilleja CF Bollullos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bollullos's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Castilleja CF's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Castilleja CF has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Castilleja CF VS Bollullos
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Castilleja CF

(Home)
06 May
Castilleja CF
0 : 2
Coria C.F.
03 May
AD Ceuta B
2 : 2
Castilleja CF
26 Apr
Castilleja CF
0 : 1
Cordoba B
19 Apr
Chiclana
1 : 0
Castilleja CF
12 Apr
Castilleja CF
3 : 1
Conil
Page 1 of 6

Bollullos

(Away)
23 May
Atletico Central
2 : 0
Bollullos
17 May
Bollullos
1 : 0
Atletico Central
10 May
Bollullos
1 : 2
CD Utrera
03 May
Dos Hermanas
1 : 2
Bollullos
26 Apr
Bollullos
2 : 2
Cadiz B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad de Lucena 34 22 7 5 69:25 73
2 Dos Hermanas 34 18 6 10 69:39 60
3 Atletico Central 34 15 10 9 36:29 55
4 Bollullos 34 14 11 9 43:35 53
5 AD Ceuta B 34 14 10 10 38:38 52
6 Linense 34 13 13 8 45:32 52
7 Cadiz B 34 14 10 10 50:38 52
8 Conil 34 15 7 12 43:44 52
9 Cordoba B 34 12 8 14 44:44 44
10 CD Utrera 34 12 8 14 40:47 44
11 Pozoblanco 34 10 13 11 39:44 43
12 Chiclana 34 10 13 11 39:45 43
13 San Roque de Lepe 34 10 13 11 39:39 43
14 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 34 10 10 14 36:43 40
15 Tomares UD 34 10 9 15 34:46 39
16 Sevilla C 34 10 8 16 34:41 38
17 Castilleja CF 34 6 9 19 28:62 27
18 Coria C.F. 34 4 9 21 24:59 21
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026 (Play Offs)