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Castilleja CF vs Coria C.F. Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026
Castilleja CF Logo

Castilleja CF

0 - 2
FT
Coria C.F. Logo

Coria C.F.

Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Cruz L.
79' Event
Acevedo Leon E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Coria C.F. in this Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Coria C.F..

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Castilleja CF
30%
Draws
39%
Coria C.F.
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Coria C.F.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Castilleja CF lately — more wins on the board than Coria C.F..
  • Castilleja CF are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Castilleja CF Clean Sheet 68%
Coria C.F. Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Castilleja CF Coria C.F.
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 4
Draws 7 9
Losses 17 17
Goals Scored 0.93 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Castilleja CF vs Coria C.F.
0:2
Jan 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Coria C.F. vs Castilleja CF
1:1
Mar 28, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Castilleja CF vs Coria C.F.
1:0
Dec 20, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Coria C.F. vs Castilleja CF
0:4
Sep 30, 2020 Club Friendly
Castilleja CF vs Coria C.F.
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Castilleja CF Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Coria C.F. Compare

Top Goalscorer Cruz L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Acevedo Leon E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Castilleja CF 59 / 100
Coria C.F. 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Castilleja CF Coria C.F.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Castilleja CF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Coria C.F.'s defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Castilleja CF scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Castilleja CF went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Castilleja CF VS Coria C.F.
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
2.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Castilleja CF

(Home)
06 May
Castilleja CF
0 : 2
Coria C.F.
03 May
AD Ceuta B
2 : 2
Castilleja CF
26 Apr
Castilleja CF
0 : 1
Cordoba B
19 Apr
Chiclana
1 : 0
Castilleja CF
12 Apr
Castilleja CF
3 : 1
Conil
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Coria C.F.

(Away)
06 May
Castilleja CF
0 : 2
Coria C.F.
03 May
Coria C.F.
2 : 2
Tomares UD
25 Apr
Coria C.F.
0 : 2
AD Ceuta B
19 Apr
Cordoba B
4 : 0
Coria C.F.
12 Apr
Coria C.F.
1 : 1
Chiclana
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad de Lucena 34 22 7 5 69:25 73
2 Dos Hermanas 34 18 6 10 69:39 60
3 Atletico Central 34 15 10 9 36:29 55
4 Bollullos 34 14 11 9 43:35 53
5 AD Ceuta B 34 14 10 10 38:38 52
6 Linense 34 13 13 8 45:32 52
7 Cadiz B 34 14 10 10 50:38 52
8 Conil 34 15 7 12 43:44 52
9 Cordoba B 34 12 8 14 44:44 44
10 CD Utrera 34 12 8 14 40:47 44
11 Pozoblanco 34 10 13 11 39:44 43
12 Chiclana 34 10 13 11 39:45 43
13 San Roque de Lepe 34 10 13 11 39:39 43
14 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 34 10 10 14 36:43 40
15 Tomares UD 34 10 9 15 34:46 39
16 Sevilla C 34 10 8 16 34:41 38
17 Castilleja CF 34 6 9 19 28:62 27
18 Coria C.F. 34 4 9 21 24:59 21
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026 (Play Offs)