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Castilleja CF vs Lebrijana

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Tercera Division - Group 10 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 10 2020/2021 game between Castilleja CF and Lebrijana finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Castilleja CF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Castilleja CF
20%
Draws
16%
Lebrijana
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Castilleja CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Castilleja CF come out ahead of Lebrijana on wins alone.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Castilleja CF taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 10 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 16%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Castilleja CF Clean Sheet 68%
Lebrijana Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Castilleja CF Lebrijana
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 7 3
Draws 8 8
Losses 17 18
Goals Scored 0.91 0.62
Goals Conceded 1.81 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Castilleja CF vs Lebrijana
1:0
May 2, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Lebrijana vs Castilleja CF
0:0
Mar 11, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Castilleja CF vs Lebrijana
0:1
Oct 29, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Lebrijana vs Castilleja CF
2:1
Jan 15, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Lebrijana vs Castilleja CF
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Castilleja CF 77 / 100
Lebrijana 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Castilleja CF Lebrijana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Castilleja CF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lebrijana let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Lebrijana's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Castilleja CF scored in 56% of their last 32 games.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Castilleja CF VS Lebrijana
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Castilleja CF

(Home)
06 May
Castilleja CF
0 : 2
Coria C.F.
03 May
AD Ceuta B
2 : 2
Castilleja CF
26 Apr
Castilleja CF
0 : 1
Cordoba B
19 Apr
Chiclana
1 : 0
Castilleja CF
12 Apr
Castilleja CF
3 : 1
Conil
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Lebrijana

(Away)
02 Sept
Cabecense
3 : 0
Lebrijana
28 Aug
Lebrijana
2 : 2
Arcos CF
06 Jun
Castilleja CF
1 : 0
Lebrijana
29 May
Lebrijana
1 : 4
Coria C.F.
23 May
La Palma CF
1 : 0
Lebrijana
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