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Castillo CF vs UD Tegueste Prediction & H2H Stats

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 12 2007/2008
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AI Match Summary

Castillo CF in this Tercera Division - Group 12 2007/2008 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Castillo CF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Castillo CF
35%
Draws
32%
UD Tegueste
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: UD Tegueste at 1.17 per game, Castillo CF at 1.
  • Castillo CF are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Castillo CF have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Castillo CF Clean Sheet 20%
UD Tegueste Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Castillo CF UD Tegueste
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 15 8
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1 1.17
Goals Conceded 1 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 0.72 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
UD Tegueste vs Castillo CF
0:0
Jan 4, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Castillo CF vs UD Tegueste
1:0
May 11, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Castillo CF vs UD Tegueste
2:1
Dec 22, 2007 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
UD Tegueste vs Castillo CF
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Castillo CF 49 / 100
UD Tegueste 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Castillo CF UD Tegueste

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Castillo CF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UD Tegueste's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.75 goals as a typical output.

Castillo CF went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Castillo CF scored in 56% of their last 32 games.

Scoring Trends

Castillo CF VS -
0.25 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Castillo CF

(Home)
09 May
Los Llanos
2 : 3
Castillo CF
02 May
Castillo CF
3 : 0
SD Tenisca
25 Apr
Tijarafe
2 : 2
Castillo CF
11 Apr
CD Charco Del Pino
0 : 0
Castillo CF
04 Apr
Castillo CF
0 : 1
Teror
Page 1 of 7

UD Tegueste

(Away)
17 May
Arguineguin
2 : 3
UD Tegueste
09 May
UD Tegueste
0 : 0
Castillo CF
06 May
Victoria CD
1 : 2
UD Tegueste
03 May
UD Tegueste
0 : 1
SD Tenisca
25 Apr
CD Teguise
1 : 1
UD Tegueste
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Granadilla 38 20 14 4 68:36 74
2 Las Palmas B 38 21 10 7 60:36 73
3 Galdar 38 22 7 9 47:25 73
4 Castillo CF 38 20 8 10 58:36 68
5 Las Zocas 38 17 9 12 56:42 60
6 SD Tenisca 38 16 9 13 46:39 57
7 CD Teguise 38 14 15 9 33:26 57
8 Orientacion Maritima 38 16 9 13 53:50 57
9 Univ. Las Palmas B 38 15 11 12 47:45 56
10 AD Laguna 38 16 7 15 55:43 55
11 Victoria CD 38 12 13 13 55:48 49
12 Villa Santa Brigida B 38 11 14 13 36:48 47
13 Tenerife B 38 12 10 16 42:46 46
14 Tijarafe 38 12 9 17 44:55 45
15 UD Tegueste 38 11 12 15 36:44 45
16 CF Union Antigua 38 11 11 16 35:42 44
17 CD Marino 38 12 7 19 42:46 43
18 UD Balos 38 9 10 19 38:62 37
19 Ibarra 38 10 4 24 36:61 34
20 Atletico Arona 38 4 9 25 34:91 21
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2007/2008 (Main)