Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Castkovce vs Belusa

Slovakia Slovakia

3. Liga - West 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Belusa in this 3. Liga - West 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Belusa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Castkovce
6%
Draws
90%
Belusa
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Belusa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Belusa have won more games recently than Castkovce.
  • Belusa are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Castkovce Clean Sheet 10%
Belusa Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Castkovce Belusa
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 9 15
Draws 10 7
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.75 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 3. Liga - West
Castkovce vs Belusa
1:4
Nov 2, 2025 3. Liga - West
Belusa vs Castkovce
1:1
Apr 20, 2025 3. Liga - West
Belusa vs Castkovce
2:5
Sep 28, 2024 3. Liga - West
Castkovce vs Belusa
0:2
Apr 20, 2024 3. Liga - West
Castkovce vs Belusa
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Castkovce 10 / 100
Belusa 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Castkovce Belusa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BEL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Castkovce scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Belusa conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.

Recent resilience: Castkovce stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Castkovce VS Belusa
1 Goals Scored 2.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%