Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Castkovce vs Belusa

Slovakia Slovakia

3. Liga - West 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Belusa in this 3. Liga - West 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Belusa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Castkovce
15%
Draws
64%
Belusa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Belusa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Belusa have won more games recently than Castkovce.
  • Belusa are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Castkovce Clean Sheet 10%
Belusa Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Castkovce Belusa
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 7 17
Draws 10 7
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.66 2.19
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 3. Liga - West
Castkovce vs Belusa
1:4
Nov 2, 2025 3. Liga - West
Belusa vs Castkovce
1:1
Apr 20, 2025 3. Liga - West
Belusa vs Castkovce
2:5
Sep 28, 2024 3. Liga - West
Castkovce vs Belusa
0:2
Apr 20, 2024 3. Liga - West
Castkovce vs Belusa
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Castkovce 10 / 100
Belusa 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Castkovce Belusa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Belusa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Castkovce scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Belusa conceded in 66% of 32 recent games.

Recent resilience: Castkovce stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Castkovce VS Belusa
1.38 Goals Scored 2.75
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Castkovce

(Home)
29 Aug
Dun. Streda B
1 : 3
Castkovce
22 Aug
Banik Prievidza
4 : 2
Castkovce
15 Aug
Nitra
3 : 2
Castkovce
07 Aug
MSK Senec
3 : 2
Castkovce
17 Jul
Castkovce
1 : 1
Uhersky Brod
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Belusa

(Away)
02 Sept
Piestany
2 : 1
Belusa
30 Aug
Komarno B
0 : 5
Belusa
23 Aug
Belusa
4 : 2
Raca
19 Aug
Borsky Mikulas
0 : 2
Belusa
15 Aug
Sala
1 : 3
Belusa
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