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Castkovce vs Gabcikovo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Slovakia Slovakia

3. Liga - West
Sat, Nov 14, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Castkovce host Gabcikovo in the 3. Liga - West. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Castkovce have averaged 1.48 scored and 1.93 conceded recently, against Gabcikovo's 1.79 scored and 1.79 conceded. Past meetings favor Castkovce slightly — 1-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 7, 2026, ending 4:2. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 1.88) point toward Gabcikovo. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Castkovce
15%
Draws
51%
Gabcikovo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gabcikovo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gabcikovo come out ahead of Castkovce on wins alone.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Gabcikovo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Castkovce Clean Sheet 10%
Gabcikovo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Castkovce Gabcikovo
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 7 11
Draws 9 7
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.48 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 3. Liga - West
Castkovce vs Gabcikovo
4:2
Aug 9, 2025 3. Liga - West
Gabcikovo vs Castkovce
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Castkovce 10 / 100
Gabcikovo 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Castkovce Gabcikovo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gabcikovo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gabcikovo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Castkovce scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Castkovce stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Castkovce VS Gabcikovo
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Castkovce

(Home)
31 Oct
Castkovce
1 : 0
Trencin B
24 Oct
Nove Zamky
2 : 0
Castkovce
17 Oct
Castkovce
1 : 0
Velke Ludince
09 Oct
Myjava
5 : 0
Castkovce
03 Oct
Castkovce
1 : 2
MSK Puchov
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Gabcikovo

(Away)
25 Oct
Belusa
2 : 3
Gabcikovo
17 Oct
Gabcikovo
3 : 2
Trencin B
10 Oct
Nove Zamky
2 : 1
Gabcikovo
03 Oct
Gabcikovo
5 : 2
Velke Ludince
25 Sept
Myjava
2 : 0
Gabcikovo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nitra 12 11 1 0 45:10 34
2 Dunajska Luzna 13 8 3 2 19:10 27
3 MSK Puchov 13 7 4 2 31:9 25
4 Gabcikovo 12 6 2 4 22:19 20
5 Myjava 12 5 4 3 21:15 19
6 Belusa 13 4 6 3 26:21 18
7 Nove Zamky 12 5 3 4 15:18 18
8 Dun. Streda B 13 5 3 5 24:19 18
9 MSK Senec 13 5 1 7 13:22 16
10 Banik Prievidza 12 5 1 6 19:21 16
11 Castkovce 13 4 2 7 19:27 14
12 Trencin B 13 4 2 7 23:24 14
13 Komarno B 13 4 2 7 15:30 14
14 Velke Ludince 13 3 3 7 18:31 12
15 Raca 13 2 4 7 15:34 10
16 Sala 12 1 3 8 8:23 6
Promotion - 2. liga 2027/2028 (Main)