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Castkovce vs MSK Puchov - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Slovakia Slovakia

3. Liga - West
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 3. Liga - West game between Castkovce and MSK Puchov finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward MSK Puchov.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Castkovce
30%
Draws
51%
MSK Puchov
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: MSK Puchov

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • MSK Puchov carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans MSK Puchov's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and MSK Puchov have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Castkovce Clean Sheet 10%
MSK Puchov Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Castkovce MSK Puchov
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 8
Draws 11 11
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.57 1.34
Goals Conceded 2 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 3. Liga - West
Castkovce vs MSK Puchov
1:2
Feb 24, 2024 Club Friendly
Castkovce vs MSK Puchov
1:4
Feb 18, 2023 Club Friendly
Castkovce vs MSK Puchov
3:6
Sep 22, 2021 Slovak Cup
Castkovce vs MSK Puchov
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Castkovce 10 / 100
MSK Puchov 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Castkovce MSK Puchov

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MSK Puchov Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Castkovce found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

MSK Puchov's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Castkovce stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Castkovce VS MSK Puchov
1.88 Goals Scored 2.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Castkovce

(Home)
09 Oct
Myjava
5 : 0
Castkovce
03 Oct
Castkovce
1 : 2
MSK Puchov
26 Sept
Dunajska Luzna
1 : 0
Castkovce
19 Sept
Castkovce
3 : 2
Komarno B
13 Sept
Castkovce
3 : 3
Raca
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MSK Puchov

(Away)
10 Oct
MSK Puchov
1 : 1
Banik Prievidza
03 Oct
Castkovce
1 : 2
MSK Puchov
26 Sept
MSK Puchov
5 : 0
MSK Senec
19 Sept
Gabcikovo
1 : 1
MSK Puchov
12 Sept
MSK Puchov
2 : 0
Belusa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nitra 10 9 1 0 36:7 28
2 MSK Puchov 10 5 4 1 19:6 19
3 Myjava 10 5 3 2 18:11 18
4 Dunajska Luzna 10 5 3 2 14:9 18
5 Belusa 9 4 4 1 19:11 16
6 Nove Zamky 10 4 3 3 13:17 15
7 Gabcikovo 10 4 2 4 16:15 14
8 Trencin B 9 4 1 4 20:18 13
9 Banik Prievidza 10 4 1 5 16:16 13
10 Dun. Streda B 10 3 2 5 19:18 11
11 Raca 10 2 4 4 13:21 10
12 Velke Ludince 10 2 3 5 15:28 9
13 MSK Senec 10 3 0 7 9:20 9
14 Castkovce 10 2 2 6 17:25 8
15 Komarno B 9 2 2 5 10:23 8
16 Sala 9 1 3 5 8:17 6
Promotion - 2. liga 2027/2028 (Main)