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Castkovce vs Raca

Slovakia Slovakia

3. Liga - West
Sun, Sep 13, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Castkovce host Raca in the 3. Liga - West. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Raca have shipped 1.89 goals a game lately, while Castkovce have conceded 1.97 and scored 1.66. Head-to-head, Castkovce have won 2 to Raca's 0, with 3 draws. They last met on Apr 26, 2026, ending 3:3. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 2.00) point toward Castkovce. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Castkovce
15%
Draws
51%
Raca
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Raca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Castkovce carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular 3. Liga - West form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Castkovce Clean Sheet 10%
Raca Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Castkovce Raca
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 7 4
Draws 10 7
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 1.66 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 3. Liga - West
Raca vs Castkovce
3:3
Sep 27, 2025 3. Liga - West
Castkovce vs Raca
1:1
May 17, 2025 3. Liga - West
Castkovce vs Raca
3:1
Nov 10, 2024 3. Liga - West
Raca vs Castkovce
0:0
Mar 9, 2024 3. Liga - West
Castkovce vs Raca
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Castkovce 34 / 100
Raca 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Castkovce Raca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Raca Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Castkovce's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Raca let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Raca lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Castkovce VS Raca
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Castkovce

(Home)
05 Sept
Castkovce
1 : 1
Sala
29 Aug
Dun. Streda B
1 : 3
Castkovce
22 Aug
Banik Prievidza
4 : 2
Castkovce
15 Aug
Nitra
3 : 2
Castkovce
07 Aug
MSK Senec
3 : 2
Castkovce
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Raca

(Away)
04 Sept
MSK Senec
0 : 1
Raca
30 Aug
Raca
1 : 2
Gabcikovo
23 Aug
Belusa
4 : 2
Raca
19 Aug
Bernolakovo
0 : 3
Raca
16 Aug
Raca
2 : 3
Trencin B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nitra 5 4 1 0 15:3 13
2 Belusa 5 4 1 0 17:7 13
3 Nove Zamky 5 3 2 0 7:3 11
4 Gabcikovo 5 3 0 2 8:7 9
5 MSK Puchov 5 2 2 1 8:3 8
6 Dunajska Luzna 5 2 2 1 7:6 8
7 Trencin B 5 2 1 2 8:9 7
8 Dun. Streda B 5 2 0 3 12:11 6
9 Banik Prievidza 5 2 0 3 8:10 6
10 MSK Senec 5 2 0 3 6:9 6
11 Myjava 5 1 2 2 8:11 5
12 Komarno B 5 1 2 2 5:11 5
13 Castkovce 5 1 1 3 10:12 4
14 Sala 5 1 1 3 7:11 4
15 Raca 5 1 1 3 7:10 4
16 Velke Ludince 5 0 2 3 4:14 2
Promotion - 2. liga 2027/2028 (Main)