Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
This match ends 0-4, with Finn Harps advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
64%
15%
21%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Castlebar Celtic
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Finn Harps carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- Finn Harps arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Finn Harps, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Castlebar Celtic Clean Sheet 10%
Finn Harps Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Castlebar Celtic | Finn Harps |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 12 | 34 |
| Wins | 5 | 8 |
| Draws | 0 | 6 |
| Losses | 7 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.42 | 1.85 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 2.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 13, 2010 League Cup
Castlebar Celtic vs Finn Harps
1:3
Apr 14, 2009 League Cup
Castlebar Celtic vs Finn Harps
0:4
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Castlebar Celtic 30 / 100
Finn Harps 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Castlebar Celtic Finn Harps
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Attacking prowess: Castlebar Celtic scored in 67% of their last 12 outings.
Finn Harps has conceded goals in 79% of their last 34 outings.
Solid form: Castlebar Celtic remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Castlebar Celtic VS Finn Harps
0.5 Goals Scored 0.63
4 Goals Conceded 2.13
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Castlebar Celtic
(Home) 15 Aug
Dundalk
8 : 0 Castlebar Celtic
18 Jul
Douglas Hall
0 : 1 Castlebar Celtic
16 May
Castlebar Celtic
3 : 0 North End United
20 Jul
Castlebar Celtic
3 : 6 Longford
11 May
North End United
1 : 4 Castlebar Celtic
Page 1 of 3
16 May
Castlebar Celtic
3 : 0 North End United
20 Jul
Castlebar Celtic
3 : 6 Longford
13 Apr
Castlebar Celtic
1 : 3 Finn Harps
23 Mar
Castlebar Celtic
1 : 0 Salthill
25 Apr
Castlebar Celtic
3 : 1 Ringmahon Rangers
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Finn Harps
(Away) 18 Sept
Finn Harps
0 : 1 Longford
11 Sept
Wexford
1 : 3 Finn Harps
04 Sept
Finn Harps
0 : 1 Athlone
28 Aug
UC Dublin
5 : 4 Finn Harps
21 Aug
Finn Harps
1 : 3 Cobh Ramblers
Page 1 of 7
11 Sept
Wexford
1 : 3 Finn Harps
28 Aug
UC Dublin
5 : 4 Finn Harps
07 Aug
Bray
5 : 0 Finn Harps
03 Aug
Longford
5 : 0 Finn Harps
24 Jul
Kerry
2 : 1 Finn Harps
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Waterford -
TBD -
Cobh Ramblers 2
Carlow 3
St. Patricks -
TBD -
Kildare County 0
Shamrock Rovers 3
Galway United 3
Salthill 2
TBD -
Derry City -
Athlone 3
Longford 0
Tullamore 0
UC Dublin 2
Sligo Rovers -
TBD -
Castlebar Celtic 0
Finn Harps 4
Drogheda 2
Bray 0
Monaghan United 1
Sporting Fingal 2
Wexford 2
Limerick 1
Kerry 1
Cork City 3
Shelbourne 3
Dundalk 0
TBD -
Bohemians -
1/8-finals
Waterford 3
Carlow 1
St. Patricks 0
Shamrock Rovers 1
Galway United 1
Derry City 0
Athlone 0
UC Dublin 1
Sligo Rovers 4
Finn Harps 1
Drogheda 0
Sporting Fingal 2
Wexford 2
Cork City 1
Shelbourne 3
Bohemians 4
Quarter-finals
Waterford 2
Shamrock Rovers 1
Galway United 0
UC Dublin 2
Sligo Rovers 1
Sporting Fingal 0
Wexford 1
Bohemians 2
Semi-finals
Waterford 3
UC Dublin 1
Sligo Rovers 2
Bohemians 4
Final
Waterford 1
Bohemians 3
