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Castlebar Celtic vs Shamrock Rovers

Ireland Ireland

FAI Cup 2006
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-2, with Shamrock Rovers advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Castlebar Celtic
20%
Draws
29%
Shamrock Rovers
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Castlebar Celtic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Shamrock Rovers come out ahead of Castlebar Celtic on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Shamrock Rovers arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Shamrock Rovers, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Castlebar Celtic Clean Sheet 10%
Shamrock Rovers Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Castlebar Celtic Shamrock Rovers
Matches Played 12 32
Wins 5 17
Draws 0 5
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.5 1.66
Goals Conceded 2.42 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2006 FAI Cup
Castlebar Celtic vs Shamrock Rovers
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Castlebar Celtic 34 / 100
Shamrock Rovers 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Castlebar Celtic Shamrock Rovers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shamrock Rovers Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Castlebar Celtic scored in 67% of their last 12 outings.

Shamrock Rovers let in goals in 75% of their last 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Castlebar Celtic has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Castlebar Celtic VS Shamrock Rovers
0.5 Goals Scored 1.75
4 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Castlebar Celtic

(Home)
15 Aug
Dundalk
8 : 0
Castlebar Celtic
18 Jul
Douglas Hall
0 : 1
Castlebar Celtic
16 May
Castlebar Celtic
3 : 0
North End United
20 Jul
Castlebar Celtic
3 : 6
Longford
11 May
North End United
1 : 4
Castlebar Celtic
Page 1 of 3

Shamrock Rovers

(Away)
18 Sept
Shamrock Rovers
3 : 2
Waterford
11 Sept
St. Patricks
2 : 0
Shamrock Rovers
04 Sept
Shamrock Rovers
0 : 0
Shelbourne
30 Aug
Derry City
3 : 3
Shamrock Rovers
27 Aug
KuPS
1 : 0
Shamrock Rovers
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
St. Patricks 2
Malahide United 0
Cobh Ramblers 0
Dundalk 1
Waterford 5
Douglas Hall 0
Cork City 1
Longford 2
Athlone 2
Galway United 1
Crumlin Utd 0
Finn Harps 1
Bohemians 3
Waterford Crystal 1
Castlebar Celtic 0
Shamrock Rovers 2
Sligo Rovers 4
Carrigaline Utd 0
Kildare County 2
Bray 3
Dublin City 4
Monaghan United 2
Wayside Celtic 0
Killester Donnycarney 1
UC Dublin 2
Kilkenny City 0
Drogheda 0
Limerick 1
Shelbourne 3
Bangor Celtic 1
Blarney Utd 1
Derry City 3
1/8-finals
St. Patricks 2
Dundalk 0
Waterford 1
Longford 2
Athlone 3
Finn Harps 2
Bohemians 1
Shamrock Rovers 3
Sligo Rovers 2
Bray 1
Dublin City 0
Killester Donnycarney 3
UC Dublin 3
Limerick 1
Shelbourne 0
Derry City 1
Quarter-finals
St. Patricks 4
Longford 1
Athlone 1
Shamrock Rovers 2
Sligo Rovers 4
Killester Donnycarney 3
UC Dublin 0
Derry City 2
Semi-finals
St. Patricks 2
Shamrock Rovers 0
Sligo Rovers 0
Derry City 5
Final
St. Patricks 3
Derry City 4