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Castrense vs Operario

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group E 2017/2018
Castrense Logo

Castrense

3 - 5
FT
Operario Logo

Operario

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group E 2017/2018 game between Castrense and Operario finished 3-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Operario.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Castrense
15%
Draws
0%
Operario
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Castrense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Operario carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Castrense's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group E 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Castrense Clean Sheet 14%
Operario Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Castrense Operario
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 9
Draws 9 5
Losses 16 18
Goals Scored 0.8 1
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
Castrense vs Operario
3:5
Dec 17, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
Operario vs Castrense
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Castrense 39 / 100
Operario 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Castrense Operario

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Castrense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Operario has conceded goals in 88% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 6.50 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Operario has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Castrense scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Castrense VS Operario
0.33 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.88
33% Over 1.5 88%
33% Over 2.5 63%
33% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Castrense

(Home)
30 Aug
Castrense
0 : 1
Louletano
20 Sept
Castrense
0 : 5
Lusitania FC
31 Aug
Castrense
1 : 0
CDR Quarteirense
22 Sept
Moura AC
4 : 2
Castrense
24 Sept
Castrense
0 : 3
Vila Mea
Page 1 of 6

Operario

(Away)
21 Sept
Louletano
5 : 0
Operario
13 Apr
Operario
2 : 4
Sintrense
06 Apr
Louletano
1 : 0
Operario
29 Mar
Operario
0 : 2
Industria
16 Mar
Moncarapachense
3 : 1
Operario
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SC Farense 30 26 3 1 66:12 81
2 Oriental 30 19 6 5 40:19 63
3 Olhanense 30 18 4 8 42:30 58
4 Casa Pia 30 16 5 9 50:31 53
5 Pinhalnovense 30 13 7 10 43:29 46
6 Louletano 30 13 5 12 43:39 44
7 Armacenenses 30 11 11 8 31:29 44
8 Moura AC 30 12 5 13 41:38 41
9 Montijo 30 9 10 11 40:44 37
10 Sporting Ideal 30 10 5 15 29:38 35
11 Estrela Vendas Novas 30 8 8 14 32:54 32
12 Operario 30 7 9 14 35:46 30
13 Almancilense 30 7 7 16 33:50 28
14 Castrense 30 5 11 14 32:47 26
15 Lusitano VRSA 30 6 7 17 24:49 25
16 Moncarapachense 30 6 5 19 27:53 23
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2017/2018 (Play Offs)