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Castro Daire vs Leca

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2022/2023
Castro Daire Logo

Castro Daire

0 - 2
FT
Leca Logo

Leca

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2022/2023 game between Castro Daire and Leca finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Leca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Castro Daire
20%
Draws
36%
Leca
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Castro Daire

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Castro Daire haven't matched Leca's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Castro Daire's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Castro Daire Clean Sheet 68%
Leca Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Castro Daire Leca
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 5 23
Draws 8 11
Losses 17 4
Goals Scored 0.83 1.87
Goals Conceded 1.37 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Leca vs Castro Daire
1:0
Mar 26, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Castro Daire vs Leca
0:2
Jan 16, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Castro Daire vs Leca
2:0
Oct 3, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Leca vs Castro Daire
0:1
Jan 19, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Leca vs Castro Daire
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Castro Daire 59 / 100
Leca 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Castro Daire Leca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Castro Daire Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Leca conceded in 63% of 38 recent games.

Castro Daire's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Castro Daire went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Castro Daire VS Leca
0.5 Goals Scored 2.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Castro Daire

(Home)
22 Aug
Sousense
0 : 1
Castro Daire
16 Aug
Castro Daire
0 : 2
UD Ovarense
31 Aug
Castro Daire
1 : 2
Anadia
16 Apr
Leca
1 : 0
Castro Daire
08 Apr
Castro Daire
3 : 1
GD Resende
Page 1 of 6

Leca

(Away)
23 Aug
Paredes
1 : 2
Leca
15 Aug
Vitoria Guimaraes B
2 : 0
Leca
09 Aug
Leca
1 : 1
Sao Joao de Ver
29 Jul
Leca
0 : 0
Lusitania FC
15 Jul
Santa Clara
4 : 0
Leca
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SC Salgueiros 26 15 7 4 39:25 52
2 Lusitania FC 26 15 7 4 49:23 52
3 Rebordosa 26 14 9 3 42:23 51
4 Beira Mar 26 13 9 4 35:21 48
5 Maritimo B 26 12 7 7 39:26 43
6 Valadares Gaia FC 26 10 10 6 39:29 40
7 Gondomar 26 10 8 8 33:32 38
8 Camacha 26 9 7 10 30:34 34
9 Leca 26 10 3 13 29:29 33
10 Machico 26 7 8 11 31:40 29
11 FC Alpendorada 26 8 5 13 30:43 29
12 Castro Daire 26 4 8 14 23:34 20
13 GD Resende 26 4 5 17 30:50 17
14 Guarda Desportiva 26 2 5 19 21:61 8
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)