Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Castro vs AD Trasmiera

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 3 2007/2008
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AD Trasmiera in this Tercera Division - Group 3 2007/2008 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored AD Trasmiera.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Castro
39%
Draws
31%
AD Trasmiera
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Castro lately — more wins on the board than AD Trasmiera.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 3 2007/2008 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Castro Clean Sheet 16%
AD Trasmiera Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Castro AD Trasmiera
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 4
Draws 6 6
Losses 16 20
Goals Scored 1.5 0
Goals Conceded 2 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Castro vs AD Trasmiera
1:2
Oct 14, 2007 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
AD Trasmiera vs Castro
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Castro 30 / 100
AD Trasmiera 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Castro AD Trasmiera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: AD Trasmiera conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Castro's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: AD Trasmiera registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Castro VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Castro

(Home)
09 May
Castro
0 : 2
CD Tropezon
03 May
UC Cartes
0 : 0
Castro
26 Apr
Castro
2 : 3
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
18 Apr
CD Revilla
2 : 1
Castro
12 Apr
Castro
0 : 1
Guarnizo
Page 1 of 7

AD Trasmiera

(Away)
18 May
AD Trasmiera
0 : 0
Atletico Albericia
10 May
Velarde
3 : 0
AD Trasmiera
01 May
AD Trasmiera
1 : 2
Santona
26 Apr
UM Escobedo
2 : 1
AD Trasmiera
20 Apr
AD Trasmiera
2 : 3
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 38 32 4 2 113:25 100
2 Rayo Cantabria 38 27 7 4 103:31 88
3 SD Noja 38 23 9 6 73:26 78
4 UM Escobedo 38 23 8 7 94:35 77
5 Velarde 38 22 9 7 66:41 75
6 SD Reocin 38 23 4 11 67:34 73
7 Bezana 38 17 8 13 69:54 59
8 CD Tropezon 38 17 6 15 50:46 57
9 CD Laredo 38 15 9 14 55:57 54
10 Ribamontan al Mar 38 13 7 18 52:64 46
11 CA Deva 38 10 14 14 31:50 44
12 Santona 38 12 6 20 36:54 42
13 CD Siete Villas 38 10 10 18 33:53 40
14 Castro 38 10 9 19 44:69 39
15 Guarnizo 38 8 13 17 32:51 37
16 Barreda Balompie 38 10 5 23 25:70 35
17 Atletico Albericia 38 7 13 18 35:72 34
18 AD Trasmiera 38 9 7 22 30:66 34
19 Gama 38 9 4 25 36:80 31
20 Buelna 38 5 4 29 35:101 19
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2007/2008 (Main)