Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 3

Castro

2 - 2

Bezana

Our Tip

Match Events

24'

De Miguel J.

59'

Sanz D.

61'

San Martin D.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 3 game between Castro and Bezana finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Castro

Draws

90%

Bezana

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Bezana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Bezana carry the better recent record into this one.
90% — that's where the model lands on Bezana taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%

Castro Clean Sheet 14%

Bezana Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Castro	Bezana
Matches Played	31	32
Wins	10	13
Draws	6	7
Losses	15	12
Goals Scored	1.13	2
Goals Conceded	1.25	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3

Castro vs Bezana

Possession: 46% - 55% Cards: 1 - 3

2:2

Nov 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3

Bezana vs Castro

Possession: 48% - 50% Cards: 3 - 1

2:1

Mar 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3

Bezana vs Castro

Possession: 42% - 57% Cards: 1 - 3

1:1

Nov 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3

Castro vs Bezana

Possession: 53% - 52% Cards: 3 - 3

1:1

Apr 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3

Castro vs Bezana

Possession: 48% - 46% Cards: 1 - 3

3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Castro Compare

Top Goalscorer De Miguel J.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Iglesias I.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Bezana Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanz D.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Salinas Viadero A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.82

Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Castro 10 / 100

Bezana 84 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Castro Bezana

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BEZ Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Castro's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Bezana let in goals in 59% of their last 32 matches.

Castro went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Castro VS Bezana

1.13 Goals Scored 2

1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13

63% Over 1.5 88%

63% Over 2.5 75%

25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Gimnastic de Torrelavega	34	26	5	3	86:15	83
2	CD Laredo	34	21	8	5	63:28	71
3	CD Tropezon	34	21	4	9	50:27	67
4	Guarnizo	34	19	9	6	47:26	66
5	UM Escobedo	34	21	2	11	65:43	65
6	Vimenor	34	17	8	9	47:36	59
7	Atletico Albericia	34	17	5	12	61:45	56
8	Cayon CD	34	17	5	12	50:41	56
9	Torina	34	15	8	11	39:40	53
10	Bezana	34	13	8	13	43:38	47
11	Castro	34	10	8	16	44:47	38
12	Selaya	34	8	8	18	32:44	32
13	SD Revilla	34	8	7	19	35:63	31
14	CD Barquereno	34	8	6	20	37:64	30
15	UC Cartes	34	6	10	18	28:52	28
16	CD Colindres	34	6	10	18	27:47	28
17	CD Montanas del Pas	34	6	8	20	35:87	26
18	SD Noja	34	4	7	23	22:68	19