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Castro vs CD Monte

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Barreras A.
74' Event
Lopez I.

AI Match Summary

Castro in this Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Castro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Castro
20%
Draws
48%
CD Monte
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD Monte

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Castro lately — more wins on the board than CD Monte.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Castro Clean Sheet 68%
CD Monte Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Castro CD Monte
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 4
Draws 7 4
Losses 14 22
Goals Scored 1.1 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Castro vs CD Monte
2:0
Oct 19, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Monte vs Castro
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Castro Compare

Top Goalscorer Barreras A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lopez I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

CD Monte Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Castro 41 / 100
CD Monte 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Castro CD Monte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Castro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: CD Monte conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

Castro found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (31 games).

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

CD Monte's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Castro VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Castro

(Home)
06 Sept
Selaya
0 : 0
Castro
09 May
Castro
0 : 2
CD Tropezon
03 May
UC Cartes
0 : 0
Castro
26 Apr
Castro
2 : 3
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
18 Apr
CD Revilla
2 : 1
Castro
Page 1 of 7

CD Monte

(Away)
10 May
CD Monte
1 : 2
Atletico Mineros
04 May
Vimenor
4 : 1
CD Monte
27 Apr
Cayon CD
2 : 1
CD Monte
16 Apr
CD Monte
4 : 2
CD Barquereno
12 Apr
Bezana
1 : 0
CD Monte
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Samano 34 20 10 4 52:22 70
2 CD Tropezon 34 20 7 7 58:30 67
3 Atletico Albericia 34 19 7 8 64:39 64
4 Cayon CD 34 19 5 10 61:41 62
5 Castro 34 16 11 7 45:26 59
6 Vimenor 34 17 6 11 63:42 57
7 Bezana 34 15 9 10 46:41 54
8 Torina 34 14 8 12 49:44 50
9 CD Barquereno 34 13 10 11 60:59 49
10 Guarnizo 34 11 15 8 44:37 48
11 CD Revilla 34 12 6 16 46:53 42
12 CD Colindres 34 9 9 16 36:53 36
13 Gama 34 9 9 16 34:56 36
14 Atletico Mineros 34 9 8 17 33:58 35
15 Barreda Balompie 34 8 10 16 49:65 34
16 Naval Reinosa 34 9 6 19 40:59 33
17 CD Siete Villas 34 7 7 20 29:53 28
18 CD Monte 34 5 5 24 33:64 20
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025 (Play Offs)