Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 3

Castro

0 - 2

CD Tropezon

Our Tip

Match Events

44'

Cobo F.

83'

Martinez X.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

CD Tropezon in this Tercera RFEF - Group 3 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Tropezon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Castro

11%

Draws

80%

CD Tropezon

Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: CD Tropezon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence

Castro haven't matched CD Tropezon's recent run of results.
Model gives CD Tropezon a 80% chance of winning this.
Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
CD Tropezon have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 60%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%

Castro Clean Sheet 18%

CD Tropezon Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Castro	CD Tropezon
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	9	18
Draws	6	4
Losses	15	8
Goals Scored	0.86	1.25
Goals Conceded	1.43	0.75
Expected Goals (xG)	0.86	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.43	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3

Castro vs CD Tropezon

Possession: 59% - 47% Cards: 1 - 1

0:2

Jan 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3

CD Tropezon vs Castro

Possession: 48% - 54% Cards: 1 - 0

3:1

May 24, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3

CD Tropezon vs Castro

Possession: 53% - 60% Cards: 2 - 2

2:0

May 18, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3

Castro vs CD Tropezon

Possession: 53% - 54% Cards: 2 - 3

0:1

Jan 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3

CD Tropezon vs Castro

Possession: 58% - 52% Cards: 1 - 3

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Castro Compare

Avg xG / game 0.66

Avg xA / game 0.43

CD Tropezon Compare

Top Goalscorer Cobo F.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Martinez X.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Castro 12 / 100

CD Tropezon 86 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Castro CD Tropezon

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TRO Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Castro scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

CD Tropezon let in goals in 50% of their last 30 matches.

Castro has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Castro VS CD Tropezon

0.86 Goals Scored 1.25

1.43 Goals Conceded 0.75

57% Over 1.5 63%

43% Over 2.5 25%

29% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Gimnastic de Torrelavega	34	26	5	3	86:15	83
2	CD Laredo	34	21	8	5	63:28	71
3	CD Tropezon	34	21	4	9	50:27	67
4	Guarnizo	34	19	9	6	47:26	66
5	UM Escobedo	34	21	2	11	65:43	65
6	Vimenor	34	17	8	9	47:36	59
7	Atletico Albericia	34	17	5	12	61:45	56
8	Cayon CD	34	17	5	12	50:41	56
9	Torina	34	15	8	11	39:40	53
10	Bezana	34	13	8	13	43:38	47
11	Castro	34	10	8	16	44:47	38
12	Selaya	34	8	8	18	32:44	32
13	SD Revilla	34	8	7	19	35:63	31
14	CD Barquereno	34	8	6	20	37:64	30
15	UC Cartes	34	6	10	18	28:52	28
16	CD Colindres	34	6	10	18	27:47	28
17	CD Montanas del Pas	34	6	8	20	35:87	26
18	SD Noja	34	4	7	23	22:68	19