Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 3 2016/2017

Castro

4 - 1

Escuela Meruelo

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 3 2016/2017 game between Castro and Escuela Meruelo finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Castro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%

Castro

22%

Draws

18%

Escuela Meruelo

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Castro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Castro come out ahead of Escuela Meruelo on wins alone.
60% — that's where the model lands on Castro taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Castro have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%

Castro Clean Sheet 16%

Escuela Meruelo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Castro	Escuela Meruelo
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	10	6
Draws	6	5
Losses	15	19
Goals Scored	1.5	0
Goals Conceded	2	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 21, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 3

Castro vs Escuela Meruelo

Possession: 47% - 49% Cards: 0 - 0

4:1

Sep 3, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 3

Escuela Meruelo vs Castro

Possession: 51% - 56% Cards: 2 - 1

0:5

Feb 17, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 3

Castro vs Escuela Meruelo

Possession: 47% - 57% Cards: 1 - 1

1:0

Sep 30, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 3

Escuela Meruelo vs Castro

Possession: 44% - 44% Cards: 2 - 0

2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Castro 57 / 100

Escuela Meruelo 18 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Castro Escuela Meruelo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAS Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Escuela Meruelo conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.

Escuela Meruelo lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Castro scored in 61% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Castro VS -

1.5 Goals Scored 0

2 Goals Conceded 0

100% Over 1.5 0%

63% Over 2.5 0%

63% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Gimnastic de Torrelavega	38	28	6	4	78:23	90
2	CD Tropezon	38	25	6	7	68:27	81
3	CD Laredo	38	21	9	8	59:29	72
4	Cayon CD	38	18	16	4	49:18	70
5	Rayo Cantabria	38	17	12	9	47:34	63
6	Guarnizo	38	18	9	11	50:41	63
7	CD Siete Villas	38	17	12	9	50:38	63
8	Barreda Balompie	38	15	8	15	57:52	53
9	UM Escobedo	38	13	12	13	56:42	51
10	Velarde	38	13	12	13	53:45	51
11	Textil Escudo	38	14	5	19	51:52	47
12	Castro	38	12	10	16	48:50	46
13	Bezana	38	11	12	15	43:68	45
14	Atletico Albericia	38	13	5	20	41:54	44
15	Vimenor	38	10	14	14	59:61	44
16	Selaya	38	11	11	16	33:59	44
17	Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive)	38	9	13	16	44:54	40
18	CD Revilla	38	8	12	18	38:70	36
19	Escuela Meruelo	38	6	7	25	31:76	25
20	CD Colindres	38	2	7	29	23:85	13