Sport Picks
Castro vs Escuela Meruelo Prediction & H2H Stats
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 3 2016/2017 
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 3 2016/2017 game between Castro and Escuela Meruelo finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Castro.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
80%
20%
0%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Castro
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
80%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Castro come out ahead of Escuela Meruelo on wins alone.
- 80% — that's where the model lands on Castro taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Castro have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Castro Clean Sheet 20%
Escuela Meruelo Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Castro | Escuela Meruelo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 6 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 14 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 1.35 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.39 | 2.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.42 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 21, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Castro vs Escuela Meruelo
4:1
Sep 3, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Escuela Meruelo vs Castro
0:5
Feb 17, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Castro vs Escuela Meruelo
1:0
Sep 30, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Escuela Meruelo vs Castro
2:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Castro 85 / 100
Escuela Meruelo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Castro Escuela Meruelo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Castro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Escuela Meruelo conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.
Escuela Meruelo lost 5 of their last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Castro scored in 65% of their last 31 outings.
Scoring Trends
Castro VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Castro
(Home) 27 Sept
Castro
0 : 2 Atletico Mineros
19 Sept
CD Revilla
2 : 2 Castro
13 Sept
Castro
2 : 0 Solares
06 Sept
Selaya
0 : 0 Castro
09 May
Castro
0 : 2 CD Tropezon
Page 1 of 7
27 Sept
Castro
0 : 2 Atletico Mineros
13 Sept
Castro
2 : 0 Solares
09 May
Castro
0 : 2 CD Tropezon
26 Apr
Castro
2 : 3 Gimnastic de Torrelavega
12 Apr
Castro
0 : 1 Guarnizo
Page 1 of 4
Escuela Meruelo
(Away) 13 May
Escuela Meruelo
3 : 4 Velarde
06 May
UM Escobedo
3 : 0 Escuela Meruelo
30 Apr
Escuela Meruelo
1 : 2 Barreda Balompie
23 Apr
CD Tropezon
2 : 0 Escuela Meruelo
13 Apr
Escuela Meruelo
0 : 5 Guarnizo
Page 1 of 6
06 May
UM Escobedo
3 : 0 Escuela Meruelo
23 Apr
CD Tropezon
2 : 0 Escuela Meruelo
09 Apr
Vimenor
2 : 4 Escuela Meruelo
26 Mar
CD Colindres
2 : 3 Escuela Meruelo
05 Mar
CD Revilla
3 : 1 Escuela Meruelo
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gimnastic de Torrelavega | 38 | 28 | 6 | 4 | 78:23 | 90 |
| 2 | CD Tropezon | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 68:27 | 81 |
| 3 | CD Laredo | 38 | 21 | 9 | 8 | 59:29 | 72 |
| 4 | Cayon CD | 38 | 18 | 16 | 4 | 49:18 | 70 |
| 5 | Rayo Cantabria | 38 | 17 | 12 | 9 | 47:34 | 63 |
| 6 | Guarnizo | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 50:41 | 63 |
| 7 | CD Siete Villas | 38 | 17 | 12 | 9 | 50:38 | 63 |
| 8 | Barreda Balompie | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 57:52 | 53 |
| 9 | UM Escobedo | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 56:42 | 51 |
| 10 | Velarde | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 53:45 | 51 |
| 11 | Textil Escudo | 38 | 14 | 5 | 19 | 51:52 | 47 |
| 12 | Castro | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 48:50 | 46 |
| 13 | Bezana | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 43:68 | 45 |
| 14 | Atletico Albericia | 38 | 13 | 5 | 20 | 41:54 | 44 |
| 15 | Vimenor | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 59:61 | 44 |
| 16 | Selaya | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 33:59 | 44 |
| 17 | Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive) | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 44:54 | 40 |
| 18 | CD Revilla | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 38:70 | 36 |
| 19 | Escuela Meruelo | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 31:76 | 25 |
| 20 | CD Colindres | 38 | 2 | 7 | 29 | 23:85 | 13 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2016/2017 (Main)
