Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Castro vs Solares

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

44'
Cardero A.
44'
Cardero A.
58' Event
Hernando A.

AI Match Summary

Castro in this Tercera RFEF - Group 3 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Castro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Castro
20%
Draws
30%
Solares
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Castro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Solares haven't matched Castro's recent run of results.
  • Castro are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Castro Clean Sheet 20%
Solares Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Castro Solares
Matches Played 36 29
Wins 14 6
Draws 6 5
Losses 16 18
Goals Scored 1.22 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Castro vs Solares
2:0
Feb 18, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Castro vs Solares
4:0
Sep 30, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Solares vs Castro
1:0
Mar 5, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Castro vs Solares
4:4
Oct 29, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Solares vs Castro
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Castro Compare

Top Goalscorer Hernando A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Montes U.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Solares Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Castro 76 / 100
Solares 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Castro Solares

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Castro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Solares conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Castro's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

Castro has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Castro VS Solares
1.63 Goals Scored 0.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Castro

(Home)
13 Sept
Castro
2 : 0
Solares
06 Sept
Selaya
0 : 0
Castro
09 May
Castro
0 : 2
CD Tropezon
03 May
UC Cartes
0 : 0
Castro
26 Apr
Castro
2 : 3
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
Page 1 of 8

Solares

(Away)
13 Sept
Castro
2 : 0
Solares
06 Sept
Solares
0 : 2
CD Revilla
11 May
Guarnizo
4 : 2
Solares
05 May
Solares
3 : 2
UC Cartes
01 May
CD Tropezon
2 : 0
Solares
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bezana 3 3 0 0 8:3 9
2 Vimenor 3 3 0 0 7:2 9
3 CD Tropezon 3 3 0 0 7:2 9
4 CD Revilla 3 2 1 0 8:2 7
5 Cayon CD 3 2 0 1 3:1 6
6 Castro 3 1 2 0 4:2 5
7 Torina 2 1 1 0 4:1 4
8 Velarde 3 1 1 1 2:4 4
9 CD Laredo 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
10 Atletico Mineros 3 1 0 2 2:7 3
11 UD Samano 2 0 1 1 3:4 1
12 CD Barquereno 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
13 UM Escobedo 2 0 1 1 1:4 1
14 Selaya 2 0 1 1 0:3 1
15 Naval Reinosa 3 0 1 2 2:6 1
16 Guarnizo 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
17 Atletico Albericia 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
18 Solares 3 0 0 3 1:6 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 (Play Offs)