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Castrovillari vs Rende Prediction & H2H Stats

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Serie D - Group I 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

69' Event
Dudu Nardini

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group I 2021/2022 game between Castrovillari and Rende finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rende.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Castrovillari
20%
Draws
51%
Rende
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rende

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Rende carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Rende taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group I 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Castrovillari Clean Sheet 16%
Rende Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Castrovillari Rende
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 2 8
Draws 13 8
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 0.81 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.81 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2022 Serie D - Group I
Castrovillari vs Rende
0:0
May 1, 2022 Serie D - Group I
Castrovillari vs Rende
0:1
Nov 14, 2021 Serie D - Group I
Rende vs Castrovillari
1:0
Mar 21, 2021 Serie D - Group I
Rende vs Castrovillari
1:1
Oct 25, 2020 Serie D - Group I
Castrovillari vs Rende
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Castrovillari Compare

Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Rende Compare

Top Goalscorer Dudu Nardini
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Castrovillari 19 / 100
Rende 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Castrovillari Rende

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rende Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rende's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Castrovillari scored in 58% of their last 31 outings.

Castrovillari went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Castrovillari VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Castrovillari

(Home)
05 May
Castrovillari
0 : 2
Nuova Gioiese
28 Apr
Licata
3 : 1
Castrovillari
21 Apr
Castrovillari
1 : 1
Portici 1906
14 Apr
Siracusa
3 : 1
Castrovillari
07 Apr
Castrovillari
2 : 1
San Luca
Page 1 of 7

Rende

(Away)
29 May
Castrovillari
0 : 0
Rende
22 May
Lamezia Terme
3 : 1
Rende
15 May
Rende
2 : 0
Real Normanna
08 May
Portici 1906
0 : 2
Rende
04 May
Rende
1 : 2
San Luca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gelbison 36 23 9 4 63:23 78
2 Cavese 36 23 8 5 58:21 77
3 AS Acireale 36 19 12 5 58:31 69
4 Lamezia Terme 36 20 9 7 58:35 69
5 S. Agata 36 16 12 8 47:31 60
6 Paterno 36 14 10 12 45:41 52
7 Cittanovese 36 16 4 16 48:56 52
8 Santa Maria Cilento 36 14 9 13 58:50 51
9 Licata 36 13 11 12 57:45 50
10 Real Normanna 36 13 10 13 36:34 49
11 Portici 1906 36 12 8 16 42:44 44
12 Trapani 36 9 14 13 44:47 41
13 San Luca 36 9 14 13 45:52 41
14 Sancataldese 36 11 7 18 34:60 40
15 ASD Giarre 36 9 12 15 33:42 39
16 Castrovillari 36 9 11 16 39:48 38
17 Rende 36 9 9 18 35:50 36
18 Troina 36 9 8 19 39:71 29
19 Biancavilla 36 3 5 28 25:83 14
20 FC Messina 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2021/2022 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2021/2022 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2021/2022 (Play Out)