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Castrovillari vs Trapani Prediction & H2H Stats

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Serie D - Group I 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Bollino M.
31' Event
Cocco A.
44' Event
Cocco A.

AI Match Summary

Trapani in this Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Trapani.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Castrovillari
15%
Draws
36%
Trapani
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Castrovillari

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Trapani lately — more wins on the board than Castrovillari.
  • Win probability leans Castrovillari's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Castrovillari Clean Sheet 20%
Trapani Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Castrovillari Trapani
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 2 7
Draws 12 6
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 0.89 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Trapani vs Castrovillari
3:1
Sep 20, 2023 Serie D - Group I
Castrovillari vs Trapani
0:5
Apr 2, 2023 Serie D - Group I
Trapani vs Castrovillari
0:1
Nov 20, 2022 Serie D - Group I
Castrovillari vs Trapani
3:0
Apr 3, 2022 Serie D - Group I
Trapani vs Castrovillari
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Castrovillari Compare

Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.9

Trapani Compare

Top Goalscorer Cocco A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bollino M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Castrovillari 36 / 100
Trapani 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Castrovillari Trapani

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Trapani's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Castrovillari found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

Trapani's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Trapani
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 2.38
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Castrovillari

(Home)
05 May
Castrovillari
0 : 2
Nuova Gioiese
28 Apr
Licata
3 : 1
Castrovillari
21 Apr
Castrovillari
1 : 1
Portici 1906
14 Apr
Siracusa
3 : 1
Castrovillari
07 Apr
Castrovillari
2 : 1
San Luca
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Trapani

(Away)
27 Sept
USD Ragusa
0 : 1
Trapani
20 Sept
Trapani
1 : 3
Igea Virtus
16 Sept
Nissa
2 : 0
Trapani
13 Sept
Calcio Avola
1 : 0
Trapani
06 Sept
Trapani
0 : 4
Vibonese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trapani 34 30 4 0 95:15 94
2 Siracusa 34 25 6 3 79:26 81
3 Vibonese 34 22 6 6 67:29 72
4 Reggina 34 19 8 7 54:25 65
5 AS Acireale 34 15 9 10 39:41 54
6 S. Agata 34 15 7 12 46:35 52
7 Real Casalnuovo 34 15 6 13 52:49 51
8 USD Ragusa 34 14 8 12 41:38 50
9 Canicatti 34 14 6 14 55:51 48
10 Igea Virtus 34 13 6 15 38:40 45
11 Licata 34 12 7 15 43:54 43
12 Akragas 34 12 6 16 42:53 42
13 Sancataldese 34 9 10 15 32:43 37
14 Portici 1906 34 8 8 18 32:55 32
15 San Luca 34 6 12 16 37:55 29
16 Locri 1909 34 7 7 20 34:68 28
17 Castrovillari 34 2 12 20 29:76 17
18 Nuova Gioiese 34 3 2 29 18:80 11
19 Lamezia Terme 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 (Play Out)