Sport Picks
Castuera vs Puebla de la Calzada
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2024/2025 
AI Match Summary
Castuera play Puebla de la Calzada in the Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Castuera averaged 1.33 goals scored and 2 conceded. Puebla de la Calzada averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. In past meetings, Castuera won 0, Puebla de la Calzada won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 17, 2025 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Castuera and 0.99 for Puebla de la Calzada. This points to a Puebla de la Calzada double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Castuera picked up more points recently compared to Puebla de la Calzada.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 0.99 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Castuera | Puebla de la Calzada |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 36 |
| Wins | 6 | 12 |
| Draws | 6 | 11 |
| Losses | 18 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.33 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 1.33 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Castuera Compare
Puebla de la Calzada Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Castuera scored in 73% of their last 30 games.
Puebla de la Calzada let in goals in 86% of their last 36 matches.
Games between these two average 2.50 goals.
Castuera went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Puebla de la Calzada lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Extremadura | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 73:22 | 75 |
| 2 | CD Azuaga | 34 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 65:28 | 71 |
| 3 | Jaraiz | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 65:40 | 69 |
| 4 | AD Llerenense | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 58:28 | 68 |
| 5 | CD Badajoz | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 54:20 | 63 |
| 6 | CD Diocesano | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 58:38 | 58 |
| 7 | Santa Amalia | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 31:31 | 54 |
| 8 | Jerez CF | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 50:48 | 51 |
| 9 | SP Villafranca | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 55:55 | 47 |
| 10 | Moralo | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 52:50 | 46 |
| 11 | Montijo | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 35:34 | 45 |
| 12 | Pueblonuevo | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 42:71 | 36 |
| 13 | CD Calamonte | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 36:48 | 33 |
| 14 | Puebla de la Calzada | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 35:56 | 32 |
| 15 | Castuera | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 46:64 | 29 |
| 16 | CF Trujillo | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 32:63 | 28 |
| 17 | Arroyo | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 32:70 | 22 |
| 18 | Olivenza FC | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 26:79 | 17 |