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Catanduvense vs Fernandopolis

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4 2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Paulista A4 2018 game between Catanduvense and Fernandopolis finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Catanduvense
15%
Draws
85%
Fernandopolis
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fernandopolis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Fernandopolis carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Fernandopolis a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Paulista A4 2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Catanduvense Clean Sheet 10%
Fernandopolis Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Catanduvense Fernandopolis
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 9
Draws 4 2
Losses 19 21
Goals Scored 0.9 1.06
Goals Conceded 3.13 2.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2019 Paulista A4
Fernandopolis vs Catanduvense
3:0
Aug 18, 2019 Paulista A4
Catanduvense vs Fernandopolis
0:1
Jul 8, 2018 Paulista A4
Catanduvense vs Fernandopolis
0:0
May 19, 2018 Paulista A4
Fernandopolis vs Catanduvense
0:3
Mar 23, 2016 Paulista A3
Fernandopolis vs Catanduvense
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Catanduvense 10 / 100
Fernandopolis 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Catanduvense Fernandopolis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fernandopolis Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Fernandopolis conceded in 75% of 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Fernandopolis lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Catanduvense's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Catanduvense VS Fernandopolis
0.5 Goals Scored 0.63
4.5 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Catanduvense

(Home)
20 Jun
Independente SP
17 : 0
Catanduvense
14 Jun
Catanduvense
0 : 13
Matonense
07 Jun
Catanduvense
0 : 6
Mogi Mirim
30 May
Sao Carlos
8 : 0
Catanduvense
24 May
Catanduvense
1 : 5
Santacruzense
Page 1 of 6

Fernandopolis

(Away)
22 Jun
Fernandopolis
3 : 4
Olimpia FC
15 Jun
Tupa
2 : 0
Fernandopolis
09 Jun
Fernandopolis
0 : 4
Inter de Bebedouro
02 Jun
Fernandopolis
0 : 0
AEA Aracatuba
25 May
Tanabi
4 : 1
Fernandopolis
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Talentos 10 AC 14 9 3 2 24:12 30
2 Santacruzense 14 6 6 2 19:15 24
3 Vocem 14 7 3 4 16:9 24
4 Osvaldo Cruz 14 7 3 4 25:16 24
5 Andradina Esporte Clube 14 5 3 6 19:18 18
6 Tupa 14 3 5 6 7:11 14
7 Assisense 14 3 4 7 11:19 13
8 Gremio Prudente 14 0 5 9 12:33 5
Promotion - Paulista A4 2018 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter de Bebedouro 14 10 1 3 23:10 31
2 Bandeirante 14 8 4 2 22:11 28
3 America SP 14 6 2 6 19:21 20
4 Taquaritinga 14 5 4 5 19:21 19
5 Jose Bonifacio EC 14 5 2 7 17:21 17
6 Fernandopolis 14 4 3 7 8:11 15
7 Catanduva FC 14 3 4 7 12:20 13
8 Catanduvense 14 2 6 6 16:21 12
Promotion - Paulista A4 2018 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Comercial 14 9 5 0 34:5 32
2 Francana 14 8 4 2 30:7 28
3 Itapirense 14 7 5 2 19:12 26
4 Independente SP 14 7 4 3 22:9 25
5 XV de Jau 13 4 4 5 16:17 16
6 Brasilis 14 3 3 8 14:30 12
7 Jaguariuna 14 1 3 10 5:36 6
8 Sao-Carlense 13 1 2 10 6:30 5
Promotion - Paulista A4 2018 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guarulhos 14 10 2 2 23:10 32
2 Sao Jose EC 14 8 4 2 25:7 28
3 Paulista 14 8 3 3 26:8 27
4 Flamengo SP 14 8 3 3 22:12 27
5 Amparo SP 14 5 4 5 19:15 19
6 Jacarei FC 14 4 1 9 23:26 13
7 Uniao Mogi 14 3 2 9 8:25 11
8 Atletico Mogi 14 0 1 13 3:46 1
Promotion - Paulista A4 2018 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Primavera EC 14 8 3 3 23:7 27
2 Maua FC 14 8 3 3 25:10 27
3 AA Itarare 13 8 2 3 17:8 26
4 Elosport 14 8 2 4 20:12 26
5 Mauaense 14 5 3 6 14:17 18
6 Jabaquara 13 4 5 4 13:12 17
7 Barcelona SP 14 3 2 9 10:22 11
8 Guaruja 14 0 2 12 3:37 2
Promotion - Paulista A4 2018 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams