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Catania U20 vs Bari U20

Italy Italy

Primavera - Group C 2011/2012
Catania U20 Logo

Catania U20

2 - 0
FT
Bari U20 Logo

Bari U20

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Catania U20 in this Primavera - Group C 2011/2012 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Catania U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Catania U20
15%
Draws
39%
Bari U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Catania U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Catania U20 have won more games recently than Bari U20.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Catania U20 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Catania U20 have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Catania U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Bari U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Catania U20 Bari U20
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 20 8
Draws 8 7
Losses 3 15
Goals Scored 1.84 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.81 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 19, 2013 Primavera - Group C
Catania U20 vs Bari U20
3:0
Sep 1, 2012 Primavera - Group C
Bari U20 vs Catania U20
1:1
Mar 31, 2012 Primavera - Group C
Bari U20 vs Catania U20
0:1
Nov 19, 2011 Primavera - Group C
Catania U20 vs Bari U20
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Catania U20 85 / 100
Bari U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Catania U20 Bari U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Catania U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Catania U20 scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: Bari U20 conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Catania U20 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Catania U20 VS Bari U20
2.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Catania U20

(Home)
02 Jun
AC Milan U20
1 : 0
Catania U20
20 Apr
Catania U20
5 : 1
Crotone U20
13 Apr
Ascoli U20
0 : 4
Catania U20
06 Apr
Catania U20
2 : 1
Vicenza U20
29 Mar
Reggina U20
1 : 2
Catania U20
Page 1 of 7

Bari U20

(Away)
20 Apr
Lazio U20
3 : 0
Bari U20
13 Apr
Bari U20
4 : 3
Juve Stabia U20
06 Apr
Ternana U20
1 : 2
Bari U20
03 Apr
Bari U20
3 : 1
Pescara U20
16 Mar
Bari U20
1 : 1
Crotone U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Roma U20 26 22 4 0 95:23 70
2 Lazio U20 26 19 5 2 93:20 62
3 Palermo U20 26 18 4 4 60:31 58
4 Catania U20 26 15 1 10 48:39 46
5 Napoli U20 26 13 6 7 41:38 45
6 Reggina U20 26 11 7 8 36:25 40
7 Lecce U20 26 12 3 11 53:58 39
8 Ascoli U20 26 9 3 14 34:59 30
9 Juve Stabia U20 26 4 13 9 28:36 25
10 Nocerina U20 26 7 4 15 37:64 25
11 Bari U20 26 6 6 14 39:55 24
12 Pescara U20 26 4 6 16 26:56 18
13 Crotone U20 26 3 7 16 36:65 16
14 Gubbio U20 26 2 5 19 17:74 11
Promotion - Primavera - Final Stage 2011/2012 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Primavera - Final Stage 2011/2012 (Qualification)